Sport Picks
La Roche Vendee vs Valenciennes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
France
Ligue 3 Stade Henri-Desgranges, La Roche-sur-Yon 
Match Events
14'
14'
Rouai M.
Assist: Zogba M.
18'
18'
Diomande D.
21'
21'
Wahib A.
AI Match Summary
La Roche Vendee in this Ligue 3 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Roche Vendee.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: La Roche Vendee
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to La Roche Vendee lately — more wins on the board than Valenciennes.
- Model gives La Roche Vendee a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
La Roche Vendee Clean Sheet 68%
Valenciennes Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | La Roche Vendee | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 18 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 1 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.82 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Ligue 3
La Roche Vendee vs Valenciennes
3:2
Mar 5, 2003 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs La Roche Vendee
1:0
Aug 23, 2002 Ligue 3
La Roche Vendee vs Valenciennes
0:2
Feb 2, 2001 Ligue 3
La Roche Vendee vs Valenciennes
5:2
Aug 25, 2000 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs La Roche Vendee
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
La Roche Vendee Compare
Top Goalscorer Araujo A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vrignon M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Valenciennes Compare
Top Goalscorer Rouai M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Goprou D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
La Roche Vendee 86 / 100
Valenciennes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
La Roche Vendee Valenciennes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick La Roche Vendee Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: La Roche Vendee scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
La Roche Vendee went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Valenciennes has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Scoring Trends
La Roche Vendee VS Valenciennes
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
La Roche Vendee
(Home) 03 Oct
La Roche Vendee
3 : 1 Aubagne FC
26 Sept
Thionville
1 : 2 La Roche Vendee
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2 Valenciennes
12 Sept
Villefranche
0 : 0 La Roche Vendee
05 Sept
La Roche Vendee
1 : 1 Quevilly
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
La Roche Vendee
3 : 1 Aubagne FC
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2 Valenciennes
05 Sept
La Roche Vendee
1 : 1 Quevilly
20 Aug
La Roche Vendee
1 : 1 Cannes
07 Aug
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2 Versailles
Page 1 of 3
Valenciennes
(Away) 03 Oct
Versailles
1 : 0 Valenciennes
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1 Le Puy-en-Velay
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2 Valenciennes
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2 Fleury 91
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1 Valenciennes
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Versailles
1 : 0 Valenciennes
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2 Valenciennes
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1 Valenciennes
20 Aug
Paris 13 Atletico
2 : 1 Valenciennes
07 Aug
Caen
4 : 0 Valenciennes
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche Vendee | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Rouen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:5 | 20 |
| 3 | Concarneau | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Versailles | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Amiens SC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:3 | 15 |
| 6 | Cannes | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 7 | Caen | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:12 | 15 |
| 8 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 9 | Thionville | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 10 | Fleury 91 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Paris 13 Atletico | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | 12 |
| 12 | Bastia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | 11 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | 10 |
| 14 | Orleans | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 16 | Aubagne FC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:12 | 7 |
| 17 | Bourg Peronnas | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 18 | Villefranche | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 4 |
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
