Sport Picks
La Roche W vs Lorient W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
France
Coupe de France Women 2024/2025 
Match Events
7'
7'
Lelo Y.
(Penalty)
43'
43'
Gilles E.
53'
53'
Moreau E.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with La Roche W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Roche W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and La Roche W come out ahead of Lorient W on wins alone.
- Model gives La Roche W a 85% chance of winning this.
- La Roche W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor La Roche W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and La Roche W have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
La Roche W Clean Sheet 18%
Lorient W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | La Roche W | Lorient W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 2.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 12, 2025 Coupe de France Women
La Roche W vs Lorient W
2:1
Feb 18, 2018 Seconde Ligue Women
Lorient W vs La Roche W
0:1
Oct 1, 2017 Seconde Ligue Women
La Roche W vs Lorient W
3:0
Apr 2, 2017 Seconde Ligue Women
La Roche W vs Lorient W
4:0
Nov 6, 2016 Seconde Ligue Women
Lorient W vs La Roche W
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
La Roche W Compare
Top Goalscorer Moreau E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28
Lorient W Compare
Top Goalscorer Gilles E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
La Roche W 85 / 100
Lorient W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
La Roche W Lorient W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick La Roche W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Lorient W conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.
Away concern: Lorient W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
La Roche W scored in 64% of their last 33 games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Scoring Trends
La Roche W VS Lorient W
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 4.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
La Roche W
(Home) 11 Jan
Caen W
3 : 2 La Roche W
26 Jan
La Roche W
0 : 6 Paris FC W
12 Jan
La Roche W
2 : 1 Lorient W
06 Jan
Bordeaux W
3 : 2 La Roche W
19 Aug
La Roche W
0 : 4 Bordeaux W
Page 1 of 7
26 Jan
La Roche W
0 : 6 Paris FC W
12 Jan
La Roche W
2 : 1 Lorient W
19 Aug
La Roche W
0 : 4 Bordeaux W
19 Aug
La Roche W
0 : 3 Nantes W
28 May
La Roche W
0 : 1 Orleans W
Page 1 of 4
Lorient W
(Away) 11 Jan
Lorient W
1 : 7 Le Mans W
12 Jan
La Roche W
2 : 1 Lorient W
09 Jan
Lorient W
0 : 9 Paris FC W
20 May
Metz W
4 : 0 Lorient W
13 May
Lorient W
1 : 4 Brest W
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12 Jan
La Roche W
2 : 1 Lorient W
20 May
Metz W
4 : 0 Lorient W
29 Apr
Issy W
3 : 1 Lorient W
31 Mar
Saint-Maur W
3 : 0 Lorient W
18 Mar
Arras W
1 : 0 Lorient W
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Bourges 18 W 0
Montpellier W 4
Quevilly W 0
Le Havre W 1
Toulouse W 3
Nice W 0
Orvault W 0
Fleury 91 W 12
Roubaix W 0
Paris FC W 5
La Roche W 2
Lorient W 1
Thonon Evian W 3
Rodez AF W 0
Clermont W 0
Dijon W 6
Saint-Maur W 0
Strasbourg W 4
Lille W 4
Guingamp W 1
Reims W 1
OL Lyonnes W 0
St Etienne W 2
Marseille W 1
Chatenoy W 1
Cannes W 2
Orleans W 0
Le Mans W 2
Metz W 0
Nantes W 3
CB Angers W 0
PSG W 3
1/8-finals
Montpellier W 0
Le Havre W 2
Toulouse W 4
Fleury 91 W 3
Paris FC W 6
La Roche W 0
Thonon Evian W 0
Dijon W 2
Strasbourg W 1
Lille W 2
Reims W 0
St Etienne W 2
Cannes W 0
Le Mans W 5
Nantes W 1
PSG W 6
Quarter-finals
Le Havre W 2
Toulouse W 1
Paris FC W 2
Dijon W 0
Lille W 0
St Etienne W 3
Le Mans W 0
PSG W 4
Semi-finals
Le Havre W 1
Paris FC W 2
St Etienne W 1
PSG W 2
Final
Paris FC W 1
PSG W 0
