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La Roche W vs Paris FC W

France France

Coupe de France Women 2024/2025 Stade Saint Andre Ornay
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Roche W play Paris FC W in the Coupe de France Women 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, La Roche W averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. Paris FC W averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, La Roche W won 0, Paris FC W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 26, 2025 ended 0:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for La Roche W and 1.05 for Paris FC W. This points to a Paris FC W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
La Roche W
16%
Draws
53%
Paris FC W
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Paris FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • La Roche W picked up more points recently compared to Paris FC W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
La Roche W Clean Sheet 22%
Paris FC W Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Roche W Paris FC W
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 11 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.39 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.73 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Coupe de France Women
La Roche W vs Paris FC W
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Roche W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Paris FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Garbino M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davis D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Roche W 32 / 100
Paris FC W 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Roche W Paris FC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paris FC W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Paris FC W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

La Roche W attacking → ← attacking Paris FC W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Roche W scored in 61% of their last 33 games.

Paris FC W let in goals in 48% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

La Roche W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Paris FC W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 62
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38