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La Roda vs Villarrubia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022
Sun, Jan 16, 2022
0 - 3
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Roda host Villarrubia in the Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022. Villarrubia are expected to control this from the start. Villarrubia have shipped 1.09 goals a game lately, while La Roda have conceded 3.06 and scored 0. Head-to-head, La Roda have won 2 to Villarrubia's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 16, 2022, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.10 vs 0.86, favoring Villarrubia. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
La Roda
30%
Draws
70%
Villarrubia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villarrubia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Villarrubia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Villarrubia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
La Roda Clean Sheet 25%
Villarrubia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Roda Villarrubia
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 0 14
Draws 0 10
Losses 31 10
Goals Scored 0 1.18
Goals Conceded 3.06 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Roda vs Villarrubia
0:3
Sep 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs La Roda
3:0
Jan 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Roda vs Villarrubia
2:0
Sep 2, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs La Roda
0:1
May 13, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Roda vs Villarrubia
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Roda 10 / 100
Villarrubia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Roda Villarrubia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villarrubia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Villarrubia conceded in 71% of 34 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

La Roda found the back of the net in 0% of recent matches (31 games).

Villarrubia's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Villarrubia
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Roda

(Home)
05 Aug
La Roda
0 : 5
Villarrobledo
01 May
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 0
La Roda
24 Apr
La Roda
0 : 3
Conquense
10 Apr
UD Almansa
3 : 0
La Roda
03 Apr
Quintanar del Rey
3 : 0
La Roda
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Villarrubia

(Away)
04 Oct
Villarrubia
1 : 1
Torrijos
27 Sept
Illescas
2 : 0
Villarrubia
19 Sept
Villarrubia
0 : 4
Villarrobledo
12 Sept
Toledo
1 : 1
Villarrubia
05 Sept
Villarrubia
1 : 1
San Clemente
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guadalajara 34 23 8 3 71:19 77
2 Quintanar del Rey 34 21 7 6 63:29 70
3 Illescas 34 20 7 7 56:33 67
4 Villarrobledo 34 18 10 6 53:25 64
5 Torrijos 34 17 9 8 50:30 60
6 Conquense 34 15 11 8 49:30 56
7 Villarrubia 34 16 7 11 45:38 55
8 Azuqueca 34 16 6 12 55:40 54
9 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 15 9 10 50:26 54
10 CD Tarancon 34 16 3 15 46:45 51
11 Villacanas 34 13 7 14 47:51 46
12 Albacete B 34 11 11 12 47:40 44
13 UD Almansa 34 12 7 15 44:51 43
14 Huracan de Balazote 34 10 7 17 52:56 37
15 San Clemente 34 10 6 18 30:50 36
16 Miguelturreno 34 7 4 23 35:67 25
17 Hogar Alcarreno 34 4 5 25 29:90 17
18 La Roda 34 0 0 34 0:102 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 (Play Offs)