Sport Picks

Chile

Copa Chile Estadio La Portada, La Serena

La Serena

2 - 1

Cobreloa

Our Tip

Match Events

Gallardo E.

24'

Chamorro F.

Assist: Marin M.

38'

Gotti G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

La Serena

35%

Draws

42%

Cobreloa

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cobreloa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence

Cobreloa have won more games recently than La Serena.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
Cobreloa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor La Serena, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

La Serena Clean Sheet 14%

Cobreloa Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	La Serena	Cobreloa
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	7	12
Draws	9	11
Losses	13	5
Goals Scored	1.34	1.71
Goals Conceded	1.93	1.14
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Copa Chile

Cobreloa vs La Serena

1:0

Jun 28, 2026 Copa Chile

La Serena vs Cobreloa

2:1

Aug 5, 2023 Liga de Ascenso

Cobreloa vs La Serena

1:0

Mar 19, 2023 Liga de Ascenso

La Serena vs Cobreloa

1:0

Aug 4, 2019 Liga de Ascenso

Cobreloa vs La Serena

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Serena Compare

Top Goalscorer Chamorro F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Marin M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Cobreloa Compare

Top Goalscorer Zuniga S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Serena 35 / 100

Cobreloa 21 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

La Serena Cobreloa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cobreloa Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: La Serena scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Cobreloa let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: La Serena remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

La Serena VS Cobreloa

1.38 Goals Scored 1.38

1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88

63% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

La Serena

(Home)

14 Aug

U. De Concepcion

0 : 2

La Serena

08 Aug

Coquimbo

1 : 1

La Serena

02 Aug

La Serena

1 : 2

O Higgins

26 Jul

U. Catolica

3 : 3

La Serena

12 Jul

Cobreloa

1 : 0

La Serena

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Cobreloa

(Away)

16 Aug

San Felipe

0 : 1

Cobreloa

12 Aug

Magallanes

2 : 2

Cobreloa

08 Aug

Cobreloa

1 : 1

Deportes Iquique

01 Aug

Curico Unido

0 : 0

Cobreloa

25 Jul

Cobreloa

4 : 2

Deportes Santa Cruz

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