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La Serena vs Cobresal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Primera Estadio La Portada, La Serena
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Henriquez A.
Assist: Vargas J.
19'
Bechtholdt F.
29' Event
Brea J.
Assist: Villagran F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Primera matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
La Serena
20%
Draws
33%
Cobresal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: La Serena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • La Serena have won more games recently than Cobresal.
  • Win probability leans La Serena's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga de Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
La Serena Clean Sheet 15%
Cobresal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Serena Cobresal
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 5
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.38 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga de Primera
La Serena vs Cobresal
3:3
Jul 1, 2026 Copa Chile
Cobresal vs La Serena
0:1
Jun 24, 2026 Copa Chile
La Serena vs Cobresal
0:0
Feb 27, 2026 Liga de Primera
Cobresal vs La Serena
0:1
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
La Serena vs Cobresal
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Serena Compare

Top Goalscorer Henriquez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Cobresal Compare

Top Goalscorer Brea J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Frias F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Serena 48 / 100
Cobresal 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Serena Cobresal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Serena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cobresal let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: La Serena scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

La Serena has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

La Serena VS Cobresal
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

La Serena

(Home)
13 Sept
La Serena
0 : 3
U. De Chile
06 Sept
La Serena
2 : 1
Nublense
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1
La Serena
23 Aug
La Serena
3 : 3
Cobresal
14 Aug
U. De Concepcion
0 : 2
La Serena
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Cobresal

(Away)
12 Sept
Cobresal
3 : 2
Coquimbo
07 Sept
Limache
3 : 0
Cobresal
28 Aug
Cobresal
2 : 0
Palestino
23 Aug
La Serena
3 : 3
Cobresal
16 Aug
Cobresal
0 : 2
D. Concepcion
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 23 17 3 3 48:22 54
2 U. Catolica 23 13 3 7 50:33 42
3 U. De Chile 23 12 6 5 35:19 42
4 Everton 23 10 6 7 37:25 36
5 Palestino 23 11 3 9 36:33 36
6 Limache 23 10 3 10 43:35 33
7 Nublense 23 8 8 7 28:31 32
8 D. Concepcion 23 9 4 10 25:26 31
9 Huachipato 23 9 4 10 32:39 31
10 La Serena 23 7 9 7 34:38 30
11 Coquimbo 23 8 5 10 31:32 29
12 A. Italiano 23 7 7 9 26:31 28
13 O Higgins 23 8 3 12 28:36 27
14 Cobresal 23 7 3 13 34:44 24
15 U. De Concepcion 23 6 4 13 17:39 22
16 Union La Calera 23 4 5 14 19:40 17
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)