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La Serena vs O Higgins

Chile Chile

Liga de Primera Estadio La Portada, La Serena
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Vargas J.
Assist: Chamorro F.
26'
Maturana M.
56'
Sub
Chamorro F. In: Marin M.
Out: Chamorro F.

AI Match Summary

O Higgins in this Liga de Primera matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored O Higgins.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
La Serena
15%
Draws
40%
O Higgins
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Serena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • O Higgins have won more games recently than La Serena.
  • Win probability leans La Serena's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Liga de Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
La Serena Clean Sheet 17%
O Higgins Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Serena O Higgins
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.36
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Liga de Primera
La Serena vs O Higgins
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 Liga de Primera
O Higgins vs La Serena
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 Liga de Primera
La Serena vs O Higgins
3:3
Mar 9, 2025 Liga de Primera
O Higgins vs La Serena
1:1
Jul 3, 2022 Liga de Primera
La Serena vs O Higgins
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Serena Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

O Higgins Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Serena 36 / 100
O Higgins 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Serena O Higgins

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: O Higgins conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

La Serena found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: La Serena remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

La Serena VS O Higgins
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

La Serena

(Home)
13 Sept
La Serena
0 : 3
U. De Chile
06 Sept
La Serena
2 : 1
Nublense
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1
La Serena
23 Aug
La Serena
3 : 3
Cobresal
14 Aug
U. De Concepcion
0 : 2
La Serena
Page 1 of 6

O Higgins

(Away)
24 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
13 Sept
A. Italiano
1 : 0
O Higgins
06 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Union La Calera
01 Sept
U. Catolica
3 : 2
O Higgins
27 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 3
O Higgins
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 23 17 3 3 48:22 54
2 U. Catolica 23 13 3 7 50:33 42
3 U. De Chile 23 12 6 5 35:19 42
4 Everton 23 10 6 7 37:25 36
5 Palestino 23 11 3 9 36:33 36
6 Limache 23 10 3 10 43:35 33
7 Nublense 23 8 8 7 28:31 32
8 D. Concepcion 23 9 4 10 25:26 31
9 La Serena 23 7 9 7 34:38 30
10 Coquimbo 23 8 5 10 31:32 29
11 A. Italiano 23 7 7 9 26:31 28
12 Huachipato 22 8 4 10 30:39 28
13 O Higgins 23 8 3 12 28:36 27
14 Cobresal 23 7 3 13 34:44 24
15 U. De Concepcion 22 6 4 12 17:37 22
16 Union La Calera 23 4 5 14 19:40 17
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)