Sport Picks

Stadium Background

La Solana vs Tomelloso

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Fizesan M.
27' Event
Radjel Cheikh A.
(Penalty)
42' Event
Navarro J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 game between La Solana and Tomelloso finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Solana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
La Solana
15%
Draws
57%
Tomelloso
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tomelloso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and La Solana come out ahead of Tomelloso on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
La Solana Clean Sheet 68%
Tomelloso Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Solana Tomelloso
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 8 9
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.87 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Solana vs Tomelloso
3:1
Sep 10, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs La Solana
1:1
Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs La Solana
1:1
Oct 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Solana vs Tomelloso
3:1
Jan 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs La Solana
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Solana Compare

Top Goalscorer Fizesan M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Radjel Cheikh A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Tomelloso Compare

Top Goalscorer Navarro J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Solana 41 / 100
Tomelloso 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Solana Tomelloso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Solana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomelloso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Tomelloso's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

La Solana scored in 48% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

La Solana VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Solana

(Home)
03 Oct
La Solana
0 : 1
Villarrobledo
27 Sept
Toledo
4 : 0
La Solana
19 Sept
La Solana
4 : 0
San Clemente
13 Sept
UD Almansa
3 : 0
La Solana
05 Sept
La Solana
0 : 1
Manchego Ciudad Real
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Tomelloso

(Away)
12 May
Tomelloso
1 : 3
Puertollano C.F.
05 May
San Clemente
4 : 0
Tomelloso
01 May
Tomelloso
0 : 2
Albacete B
27 Apr
Marchamalo
0 : 1
Tomelloso
21 Apr
Tomelloso
2 : 0
Huracan de Balazote
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Conquense 34 21 10 3 57:18 73
2 Cazalegas 34 17 8 9 48:35 59
3 Toledo 34 16 10 8 47:25 58
4 Socuellamos 34 15 13 6 48:28 58
5 Quintanar del Rey 34 16 9 9 46:29 57
6 Puertollano C.F. 34 15 11 8 48:33 56
7 Villarrubia 34 15 10 9 36:31 55
8 CD Tarancon 34 11 14 9 38:31 47
9 Albacete B 34 12 10 12 47:49 46
10 Azuqueca 34 10 11 13 40:46 41
11 Villacanas 34 10 11 13 34:36 41
12 Villarrobledo 34 10 11 13 28:37 41
13 Marchamalo 34 10 9 15 27:38 39
14 Huracan de Balazote 34 8 15 11 35:47 39
15 La Solana 34 10 9 15 34:39 39
16 Torrijos 34 5 13 16 23:45 28
17 Tomelloso 34 5 11 18 24:55 26
18 San Clemente 34 4 7 23 28:66 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 (Play Offs)