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La Union CF vs Ciudad de Murcia

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Union CF play Ciudad de Murcia in the Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, La Union CF averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Ciudad de Murcia averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. In past meetings, La Union CF won 2, Ciudad de Murcia won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 19, 2017 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for La Union CF and 0.86 for Ciudad de Murcia. This points to a La Union CF double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
La Union CF
19%
Draws
33%
Ciudad de Murcia
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: La Union CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • La Union CF picked up more points recently compared to Ciudad de Murcia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
La Union CF Clean Sheet 25%
Ciudad de Murcia Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Union CF Ciudad de Murcia
Matches Played 32 38
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.28 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.18

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs La Union CF
3:1
Oct 2, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
La Union CF vs Ciudad de Murcia
3:0
Jan 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
La Union CF vs Ciudad de Murcia
0:3
Sep 6, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs La Union CF
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Union CF 48 / 100
Ciudad de Murcia 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Union CF Ciudad de Murcia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: La Union CF or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

La Union CF attacking → ← attacking Ciudad de Murcia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Union CF scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Ciudad de Murcia let in goals in 84% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

La Union CF went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ciudad de Murcia lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 44
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lorca Deportiva34246464:1678
2Aguilas FC34245562:2977
3E.G. El Palmar34206871:3066
4Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC34196958:3963
5Yeclano34188852:2762
6La Union CF341611751:3859
7Huercal-Overa CF341481242:4150
8Real Murcia B341541545:3949
9Deportiva Minera341371456:6146
10Muleno CF341361540:4845
11Estudiantes de Murcia CF341251750:4241
12EDMF Churra341251737:4541
13Ciudad de Murcia341161745:5639
14CA Pulpileno348111533:4335
15Pinatar34871941:5931
16Plus Ultra347101735:5531
17EF Alhama34682039:6926
18Caravaca34372429:11316