Sport Picks
La Union CF vs Ciudad de Murcia
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016 
AI Match Summary
Ciudad de Murcia in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ciudad de Murcia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ciudad de Murcia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to La Union CF lately — more wins on the board than Ciudad de Murcia.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
La Union CF Clean Sheet 20%
Ciudad de Murcia Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | La Union CF | Ciudad de Murcia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 38 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs La Union CF
3:1
Oct 2, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
La Union CF vs Ciudad de Murcia
3:0
Jan 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
La Union CF vs Ciudad de Murcia
0:3
Sep 6, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs La Union CF
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
La Union CF 36 / 100
Ciudad de Murcia 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
La Union CF Ciudad de Murcia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ciudad de Murcia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ciudad de Murcia has conceded goals in 84% of their last 38 outings.
La Union CF scored in 69% of their last 32 games.
Games between these two average 2.75 goals.
La Union CF has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Ciudad de Murcia
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
La Union CF
(Home) 14 May
La Union CF
0 : 1 Deportiva Minera
07 May
Huercal-Overa CF
3 : 0 La Union CF
30 Apr
La Union CF
2 : 2 EDMF Churra
23 Apr
Lorca Deportiva
4 : 0 La Union CF
13 Apr
La Union CF
2 : 1 Ciudad Cieza
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14 May
La Union CF
0 : 1 Deportiva Minera
30 Apr
La Union CF
2 : 2 EDMF Churra
13 Apr
La Union CF
2 : 1 Ciudad Cieza
02 Apr
La Union CF
4 : 0 Club Olimpico de Totana
19 Mar
La Union CF
2 : 0 Estudiantes de Murcia CF
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Ciudad de Murcia
(Away) 12 May
Ciudad de Murcia
0 : 1 Montecasillas
05 May
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0 Ciudad de Murcia
01 May
Ciudad de Murcia
3 : 1 Racing Murcia
27 Apr
Deportiva Minera
1 : 1 Ciudad de Murcia
21 Apr
Ciudad de Murcia
1 : 1 Balsicas Atletico
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05 May
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0 Ciudad de Murcia
27 Apr
Deportiva Minera
1 : 1 Ciudad de Murcia
14 Apr
Muleno CF
4 : 1 Ciudad de Murcia
24 Mar
Caravaca
1 : 0 Ciudad de Murcia
10 Mar
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 0 Ciudad de Murcia
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 64:16 | 78 |
| 2 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 62:29 | 77 |
| 3 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71:30 | 66 |
| 4 | Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 58:39 | 63 |
| 5 | Yeclano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 52:27 | 62 |
| 6 | La Union CF | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 51:38 | 59 |
| 7 | Huercal-Overa CF | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 42:41 | 50 |
| 8 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 45:39 | 49 |
| 9 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 56:61 | 46 |
| 10 | Muleno CF | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 40:48 | 45 |
| 11 | Estudiantes de Murcia CF | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 50:42 | 41 |
| 12 | EDMF Churra | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 37:45 | 41 |
| 13 | Ciudad de Murcia | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 45:56 | 39 |
| 14 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 33:43 | 35 |
| 15 | Pinatar | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 41:59 | 31 |
| 16 | Plus Ultra | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35:55 | 31 |
| 17 | EF Alhama | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 39:69 | 26 |
| 18 | Caravaca | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 29:113 | 16 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
