Sport Picks
La Union (Malacitano) vs Almeria B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 
Match Events
36'
36'
Jimenez C.
56'
56'
Cevallos Mike
AI Match Summary
The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between La Union (Malacitano) and Almeria B finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Union (Malacitano).
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almeria B
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Almeria B haven't matched La Union (Malacitano)'s recent run of results.
- 53% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- La Union (Malacitano) have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
La Union (Malacitano) Clean Sheet 20%
Almeria B Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | La Union (Malacitano) | Almeria B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
La Union (Malacitano) vs Almeria B
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Almeria B vs La Union (Malacitano)
0:3
Feb 16, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
La Union (Malacitano) vs Almeria B
1:0
Oct 6, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Almeria B vs La Union (Malacitano)
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
La Union (Malacitano) Compare
Top Goalscorer Cevallos Mike
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86
Almeria B Compare
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
La Union (Malacitano) 32 / 100
Almeria B 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
La Union (Malacitano) Almeria B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Almeria B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Almeria B let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
La Union (Malacitano)'s goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: La Union (Malacitano) remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
La Union (Malacitano) VS Almeria B
1.57 Goals Scored 1
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.88
57% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
La Union (Malacitano)
(Home) 03 May
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 0 Puente Genil
26 Apr
CD Extremadura
4 : 2 La Union (Malacitano)
19 Apr
La Union (Malacitano)
4 : 1 UCAM Murcia
12 Apr
Jaen
1 : 0 La Union (Malacitano)
04 Apr
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0 La Union (Malacitano)
Page 1 of 6
03 May
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 0 Puente Genil
19 Apr
La Union (Malacitano)
4 : 1 UCAM Murcia
28 Mar
La Union (Malacitano)
3 : 1 Malaga B
15 Mar
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 2 Deportiva Minera
01 Mar
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 0 Almeria B
Page 1 of 4
Almeria B
(Away) 04 Oct
Cantoria
1 : 1 Almeria B
27 Sept
Almeria B
4 : 0 Atletico de Porcuna
20 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0 Almeria B
13 Sept
Almeria B
2 : 0 CD Alhaurino
06 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Almeria B
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Cantoria
1 : 1 Almeria B
20 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0 Almeria B
06 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Almeria B
03 May
Aguilas FC
2 : 0 Almeria B
19 Apr
Yeclano
1 : 1 Almeria B
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 54:38 | 63 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 50:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 45:25 | 61 |
| 4 | Xerez CD | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 32:24 | 59 |
| 5 | Jaen | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 43:33 | 58 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41:25 | 57 |
| 7 | UCAM Murcia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49:41 | 55 |
| 8 | Linares | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:45 | 47 |
| 9 | La Union (Malacitano) | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:43 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | 45 |
| 11 | Yeclano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33:33 | 44 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:40 | 44 |
| 13 | CD Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:44 | 44 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:37 | 40 |
| 15 | Xerez Deportivo FC | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 34:43 | 36 |
| 16 | Melilla | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 36:40 | 34 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 26:53 | 21 |
| 18 | Malaga B | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 32:66 | 21 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
