Sport Picks
La Union (Malacitano) vs CD Estepona
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 
Match Events
1'
1'
Baradji S.
8'
8'
Tato R.
55'
55'
Caro J.
AI Match Summary
The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between La Union (Malacitano) and CD Estepona finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Estepona.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Estepona
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- CD Estepona carry the better recent record into this one.
- 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 78.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
La Union (Malacitano) Clean Sheet 68%
CD Estepona Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | La Union (Malacitano) | CD Estepona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs La Union (Malacitano)
3:2
Jan 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
La Union (Malacitano) vs CD Estepona
0:3
Mar 30, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
La Union (Malacitano) vs CD Estepona
1:1
Nov 17, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs La Union (Malacitano)
0:1
Apr 28, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs La Union (Malacitano)
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
La Union (Malacitano) Compare
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
CD Estepona Compare
Top Goalscorer Baradji S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tato R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.88
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
La Union (Malacitano) 41 / 100
CD Estepona 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
La Union (Malacitano) CD Estepona
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick La Union (Malacitano) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
La Union (Malacitano) scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: CD Estepona conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: La Union (Malacitano) stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
La Union (Malacitano) VS CD Estepona
1.57 Goals Scored 1.75
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
La Union (Malacitano)
(Home) 03 May
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 0 Puente Genil
26 Apr
CD Extremadura
4 : 2 La Union (Malacitano)
19 Apr
La Union (Malacitano)
4 : 1 UCAM Murcia
12 Apr
Jaen
1 : 0 La Union (Malacitano)
04 Apr
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0 La Union (Malacitano)
Page 1 of 6
03 May
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 0 Puente Genil
19 Apr
La Union (Malacitano)
4 : 1 UCAM Murcia
28 Mar
La Union (Malacitano)
3 : 1 Malaga B
15 Mar
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 2 Deportiva Minera
01 Mar
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 0 Almeria B
Page 1 of 4
CD Estepona
(Away) 19 Sept
Puente Genil
0 : 2 CD Estepona
12 Sept
CD Estepona
1 : 4 Linares
05 Sept
CD Estepona
0 : 0 Xerez CD
16 May
CD Estepona
3 : 1 Real Madrid C
10 May
Real Madrid C
2 : 2 CD Estepona
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Puente Genil
0 : 2 CD Estepona
10 May
Real Madrid C
2 : 2 CD Estepona
03 May
Yeclano
1 : 1 CD Estepona
19 Apr
Linares
2 : 3 CD Estepona
11 Apr
Almeria B
1 : 2 CD Estepona
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 54:38 | 63 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 50:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 45:25 | 61 |
| 4 | Xerez CD | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 32:24 | 59 |
| 5 | Jaen | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 43:33 | 58 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41:25 | 57 |
| 7 | UCAM Murcia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49:41 | 55 |
| 8 | Linares | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:45 | 47 |
| 9 | La Union (Malacitano) | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:43 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | 45 |
| 11 | Yeclano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33:33 | 44 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:40 | 44 |
| 13 | CD Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:44 | 44 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:37 | 40 |
| 15 | Xerez Deportivo FC | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 34:43 | 36 |
| 16 | Melilla | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 36:40 | 34 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 26:53 | 21 |
| 18 | Malaga B | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 32:66 | 21 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
