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La Union vs Dep. Cuenca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Copa Ecuador Estadio del Complejo de La Union, Pujili
La Union Logo

La Union

Tue, Jun 2, 2026
1 - 0
08:30 PM
Dep. Cuenca Logo

Dep. Cuenca

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Penalty Missed
1' Event
(Penalty)
2' Event
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
La Union
20%
Draws
36%
Dep. Cuenca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: La Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dep. Cuenca lately — more wins on the board than La Union.
  • Win probability leans La Union's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Dep. Cuenca arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor La Union, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
La Union Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Union Dep. Cuenca
Matches Played 6 29
Wins 3 7
Draws 0 8
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 1 0.66
Goals Conceded 1 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2026 Copa Ecuador
La Union vs Dep. Cuenca
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Union 50 / 100
Dep. Cuenca 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Union Dep. Cuenca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Union Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Union found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (6 games).

Defensive concern: Dep. Cuenca conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Solid form: La Union remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

La Union VS Dep. Cuenca
1 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Union

(Home)
12 Aug
La Union
1 : 2
Aucas
02 Jun
La Union
1 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
12 Apr
La Union
1 : 0
Cumbaya
03 Jul
La Union
1 : 3
Bonita Banana
03 Jul
La Union
0 : 1
Independiente del Valle
Page 1 of 2

Dep. Cuenca

(Away)
20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1
Mushuc Runa
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
07 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 1
Libertad
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0
Guayaquil City
29 Aug
Tecnico U.
3 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
LDU Quito -
TBD -
Africando 1
Independiente Juniors 2
Leones del Norte -
TBD -
Huaquillas FC 1
Rio Aguarico 0
Aucas -
TBD -
Guaranda 0
San Antonio 1
Dep. Cuenca -
TBD -
La Union 1
Cumbaya 0
Emelec -
TBD -
U.D. Juvenil 0
Daquilema 2
Guayaquil City -
TBD -
Astillero 2
22 de Julio 1
U. Catolica -
TBD -
Dunamis 1
EL Nacional 5
Orense -
TBD -
Domingo TSA 1
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle -
TBD -
Primero de Mayo 0
Dep. Santo Domingo 2
Manta -
TBD -
Nazareno 0
Nueve de Octubre 4
Mushuc Runa -
TBD -
Dep. Quito 0
Gualaceo 1
Macara -
TBD -
Quito 2
CD Cuenca Juniors 3
Barcelona SC -
TBD -
Insutec 4
Club Deportivo Ibarra 3
Libertad -
TBD -
Ind. Azogues 0
LDU Portoviejo 5
Delfin -
TBD -
Banos 2
Anaconda 1
Tecnico U. -
TBD -
Juventud Italiana 2
Atletico FC 1
1/16-finals
LDU Quito 2
Independiente Juniors 1
Leones del Norte 1
Huaquillas FC 0
Aucas 3
San Antonio 0
Dep. Cuenca 0
La Union 1
Emelec 0
Daquilema 1
Guayaquil City 1
Astillero 2
U. Catolica 4
EL Nacional 1
Orense 1
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle 2
Dep. Santo Domingo 0
Manta 1
Nueve de Octubre 0
Mushuc Runa 0
Gualaceo 1
Macara 1
CD Cuenca Juniors 0
Barcelona SC 4
Insutec 2
Libertad 1
LDU Portoviejo 2
Delfin 2
Banos 0
Tecnico U. 0
Juventud Italiana 2
1/8-finals
LDU Quito 6
Leones del Norte 0
Aucas 2
La Union 1
Daquilema 0
Astillero 2
U. Catolica 3
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle 1
Manta 0
Gualaceo 2
Macara 1
Barcelona SC 0
LDU Portoviejo 3
Delfin 1
Juventud Italiana 0
Quarter-finals
LDU Quito 1
Aucas 0
Astillero 0
U. Catolica 1
Independiente del Valle 2
Gualaceo 0
LDU Portoviejo 0
Delfin 2
Semi-finals
LDU Quito -
U. Catolica -
Independiente del Valle -
Delfin -
Final
TBD -
TBD -