Sport Picks
La Virgen vs CD Laguna (Valladolid) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 
Match Events
8'
8'
Martinez M.
57'
57'
Prieto V.
(Penalty)
59'
59'
Calzado J.
AI Match Summary
La Virgen in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Virgen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Virgen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- La Virgen have won more games recently than CD Laguna (Valladolid).
- 85% — that's where the model lands on La Virgen taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
La Virgen Clean Sheet 20%
CD Laguna (Valladolid) Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | La Virgen | CD Laguna (Valladolid) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs CD Laguna (Valladolid)
4:0
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Laguna (Valladolid) vs La Virgen
0:2
Apr 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Laguna (Valladolid) vs La Virgen
3:2
Dec 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs CD Laguna (Valladolid)
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
La Virgen Compare
Top Goalscorer Martinez M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Calzado J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
CD Laguna (Valladolid) Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
La Virgen 85 / 100
CD Laguna (Valladolid) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
La Virgen CD Laguna (Valladolid)
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick La Virgen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: CD Laguna (Valladolid) conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.
CD Laguna (Valladolid)'s recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
La Virgen's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
La Virgen VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
La Virgen
(Home) 04 Oct
Bembibre
2 : 0 La Virgen
26 Sept
La Virgen
0 : 1 Palencia CA
19 Sept
Turegano
0 : 1 La Virgen
12 Sept
La Virgen
4 : 1 Calasanz de Soria
06 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
1 : 2 La Virgen
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
La Virgen
0 : 1 Palencia CA
12 Sept
La Virgen
4 : 1 Calasanz de Soria
01 May
La Virgen
1 : 2 Almazan
18 Apr
La Virgen
0 : 1 Becerril
05 Apr
La Virgen
3 : 1 Bembibre
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CD Laguna (Valladolid)
(Away) 10 May
CD Laguna (Valladolid)
1 : 3 Leonesa B
04 May
Palencia CA
4 : 1 CD Laguna (Valladolid)
01 May
CD Laguna (Valladolid)
1 : 4 Mirandes B
26 Apr
Mansilles
5 : 0 CD Laguna (Valladolid)
20 Apr
CD Laguna (Valladolid)
0 : 1 Ciudad Rodrigo CF
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Palencia CA
4 : 1 CD Laguna (Valladolid)
26 Apr
Mansilles
5 : 0 CD Laguna (Valladolid)
17 Apr
Almazan
2 : 2 CD Laguna (Valladolid)
06 Apr
Bembibre
3 : 1 CD Laguna (Valladolid)
22 Mar
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0 CD Laguna (Valladolid)
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Astorga | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 65:25 | 75 |
| 2 | Atletico Tordesillas | 36 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 52:25 | 72 |
| 3 | Burgos CF B | 36 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 45:29 | 60 |
| 4 | Arandina | 36 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 49:35 | 58 |
| 5 | Mirandes B | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 51:41 | 57 |
| 6 | La Virgen | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 44:30 | 57 |
| 7 | Leonesa B | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 54:43 | 55 |
| 8 | Palencia CA | 36 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 53:44 | 54 |
| 9 | Becerril | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 43:50 | 51 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 37:27 | 50 |
| 11 | Santa Marta Tormes | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 48:41 | 48 |
| 12 | CD Mojados | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 36:55 | 44 |
| 13 | Almazan | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 44:47 | 41 |
| 14 | Palencia CF | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39:40 | 40 |
| 15 | Mansilles | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 36:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Bembibre | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 31:53 | 38 |
| 17 | Briviesca | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 28:56 | 32 |
| 18 | Ciudad Rodrigo CF | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 35:55 | 31 |
| 19 | CD Laguna (Valladolid) | 36 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 23:78 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
