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La Virgen vs Mansilles - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Virgen host Mansilles in the Tercera RFEF - Group 8. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: La Virgen at 1.03 goals for, 1.1 against; Mansilles at 1.04 for, 0.75 against. Past meetings favor La Virgen slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.25, favoring Mansilles. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
La Virgen
20%
Draws
44%
Mansilles
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mansilles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Mansilles have won more games recently than La Virgen.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
La Virgen Clean Sheet 19%
Mansilles Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Virgen Mansilles
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 11
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.03 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Mansilles
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs La Virgen
2:1
May 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Mansilles
1:0
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs La Virgen
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Virgen 32 / 100
Mansilles 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Virgen Mansilles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Virgen scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Solid form: La Virgen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Mansilles conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

La Virgen VS Mansilles
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Virgen

(Home)
04 Oct
Bembibre
2 : 0
La Virgen
26 Sept
La Virgen
0 : 1
Palencia CA
19 Sept
Turegano
0 : 1
La Virgen
12 Sept
La Virgen
4 : 1
Calasanz de Soria
06 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
1 : 2
La Virgen
Page 1 of 7

Mansilles

(Away)
27 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 0
Mirandes B
20 Sept
Bembibre
0 : 2
Mansilles
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1
Palencia CA
05 Sept
Turegano
1 : 2
Mansilles
10 May
Leonesa B
1 : 1
Mansilles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Santa Marta Tormes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Mansilles 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Bembibre 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Palencia CA 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
6 Leonesa B 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
7 La Virgen 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
8 Arandina 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Almazan 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
10 Palencia CF 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
11 Calasanz de Soria 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Villaralbo 5 1 2 2 9:7 5
13 Salamanca CF UDS B 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
14 Guijuelo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
15 Turegano 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
16 Unionistas de Salamanca B 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
17 Mirandes B 5 0 1 4 2:7 1
18 Colegios Diocesanos 5 0 1 4 1:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)