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La Virgen vs Numancia B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Ishizuka D.
50' Event
Neves A.

AI Match Summary

Numancia B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Numancia B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
La Virgen
6%
Draws
4%
Numancia B
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: La Virgen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • La Virgen have won more games recently than Numancia B.
  • Win probability leans La Virgen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
La Virgen Clean Sheet 68%
Numancia B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Virgen Numancia B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Numancia B
0:2
Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs La Virgen
0:1
Feb 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Numancia B
1:0
Oct 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs La Virgen
0:1
Feb 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Numancia B
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Virgen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Numancia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Ishizuka D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Neves A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Virgen 95 / 100
Numancia B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Virgen Numancia B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Numancia B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

La Virgen found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Numancia B has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

La Virgen VS Numancia B
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

La Virgen

(Home)
10 May
CD Mojados
2 : 1
La Virgen
01 May
La Virgen
1 : 2
Almazan
25 Apr
Palencia CF
3 : 2
La Virgen
18 Apr
La Virgen
0 : 1
Becerril
11 Apr
Arandina
3 : 1
La Virgen
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Numancia B

(Away)
10 May
Unionistas de Salamanca B
1 : 0
Numancia B
02 May
Numancia B
0 : 2
Guijuelo
25 Apr
Leonesa B
3 : 0
Numancia B
18 Apr
Numancia B
1 : 1
CD Mojados
11 Apr
Almazan
5 : 0
Numancia B
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Tordesillas34246462:2478
2Guijuelo34217654:2670
3Palencia CA34215848:2468
4Palencia CF342041059:3964
5Santa Marta Tormes34188853:3162
6Mansilles341512731:2757
7Almazan3412121049:3848
8Mirandes B341381343:3547
9La Virgen341281431:3744
10Villaralbo341191429:3742
11Leonesa B341261638:4342
12Arandina349101532:4637
13Colegios Diocesanos341061833:5436
14Bembibre348101638:5234
15Unionistas de Salamanca B346131532:4331
16CD Mojados347101728:5531
17Becerril34781941:6029
18Numancia B34662226:5624
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)