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La Virgen vs Numancia B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Ishizuka D.
50' Event
Neves A.

AI Match Summary

Numancia B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Numancia B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
La Virgen
15%
Draws
8%
Numancia B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Virgen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • La Virgen have won more games recently than Numancia B.
  • Win probability leans La Virgen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
La Virgen Clean Sheet 68%
Numancia B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Virgen Numancia B
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.13 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.77 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Numancia B
0:2
Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs La Virgen
0:1
Feb 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Numancia B
1:0
Oct 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs La Virgen
0:1
Feb 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Numancia B
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Virgen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.89

Numancia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Ishizuka D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Neves A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Virgen 95 / 100
Numancia B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Virgen Numancia B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Virgen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Numancia B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

La Virgen found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Solid form: La Virgen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Numancia B lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

La Virgen VS Numancia B
1.25 Goals Scored 1.29
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.29
75% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

La Virgen

(Home)
04 Oct
Bembibre
2 : 0
La Virgen
26 Sept
La Virgen
0 : 1
Palencia CA
19 Sept
Turegano
0 : 1
La Virgen
12 Sept
La Virgen
4 : 1
Calasanz de Soria
06 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
1 : 2
La Virgen
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Numancia B

(Away)
10 May
Unionistas de Salamanca B
1 : 0
Numancia B
02 May
Numancia B
0 : 2
Guijuelo
25 Apr
Leonesa B
3 : 0
Numancia B
18 Apr
Numancia B
1 : 1
CD Mojados
11 Apr
Almazan
5 : 0
Numancia B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)