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La Virgen vs Palencia CA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Clemente B.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 game between La Virgen and Palencia CA finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palencia CA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
La Virgen
15%
Draws
45%
Palencia CA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palencia CA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Palencia CA come out ahead of La Virgen on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans La Virgen's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
La Virgen Clean Sheet 20%
Palencia CA Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Virgen Palencia CA
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 17
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Palencia CA
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs La Virgen
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Palencia CA
0:2
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Palencia CA
5:1
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs La Virgen
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Virgen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Palencia CA Compare

Top Goalscorer Clemente B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Virgen 36 / 100
Palencia CA 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Virgen Palencia CA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Virgen's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

La Virgen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Palencia CA has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

La Virgen VS Palencia CA
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Virgen

(Home)
04 Oct
Bembibre
2 : 0
La Virgen
26 Sept
La Virgen
0 : 1
Palencia CA
19 Sept
Turegano
0 : 1
La Virgen
12 Sept
La Virgen
4 : 1
Calasanz de Soria
06 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
1 : 2
La Virgen
Page 1 of 6

Palencia CA

(Away)
04 Oct
Palencia CA
3 : 0
Unionistas de Salamanca B
26 Sept
La Virgen
0 : 1
Palencia CA
20 Sept
Palencia CA
1 : 0
Guijuelo
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1
Palencia CA
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2
Bembibre
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Santa Marta Tormes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Mansilles 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Bembibre 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Palencia CA 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
6 Leonesa B 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
7 La Virgen 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
8 Arandina 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Almazan 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
10 Palencia CF 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
11 Calasanz de Soria 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Villaralbo 5 1 2 2 9:7 5
13 Salamanca CF UDS B 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
14 Guijuelo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
15 Turegano 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
16 Unionistas de Salamanca B 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
17 Mirandes B 5 0 1 4 2:7 1
18 Colegios Diocesanos 5 0 1 4 1:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)