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La Vitreenne vs Carquefou

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CFA - Group D 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group D 2011/2012 game between La Vitreenne and Carquefou finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carquefou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
La Vitreenne
20%
Draws
40%
Carquefou
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Carquefou come out ahead of La Vitreenne on wins alone.
  • Carquefou are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular CFA - Group D 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
La Vitreenne Clean Sheet 20%
Carquefou Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Vitreenne Carquefou
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 11
Draws 6 13
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 0.77 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.97 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2012 National 2 - Group D
La Vitreenne vs Carquefou
0:4
Jan 28, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Carquefou vs La Vitreenne
2:0
Feb 12, 2011 National 2 - Group D
Carquefou vs La Vitreenne
0:1
Aug 20, 2010 National 2 - Group D
La Vitreenne vs Carquefou
2:0
May 14, 2010 National 2 - Group D
Carquefou vs La Vitreenne
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Vitreenne 20 / 100
Carquefou 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Vitreenne Carquefou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carquefou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Carquefou has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

La Vitreenne's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Carquefou let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Carquefou
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

La Vitreenne

(Home)
02 Jun
La Vitreenne
0 : 1
Pacy Eure
26 May
Caen II
1 : 0
La Vitreenne
19 May
La Vitreenne
0 : 4
Carquefou
13 May
Le Havre II
0 : 0
La Vitreenne
04 May
La Vitreenne
1 : 3
Le Mans II
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Carquefou

(Away)
13 Nov
Carquefou
0 : 1
US Tregunc
16 Nov
Fougeres
2 : 1
Carquefou
23 May
GFC Ajaccio
4 : 1
Carquefou
16 May
Carquefou
1 : 2
Amiens SC
09 May
Luzenac
2 : 2
Carquefou
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carquefou 34 21 8 5 52:23 105
2 Lucon 34 21 8 5 63:38 105
3 Avranches 34 19 6 9 53:33 97
4 Plabennec 34 15 11 8 55:41 90
5 Romorantin 34 16 7 11 58:33 89
6 Les Herbiers 34 14 9 11 40:40 85
7 Concarneau 34 13 7 14 49:44 80
8 Mantes 34 13 7 14 45:44 79
9 Saumur Olympique 34 11 10 13 38:43 77
10 Le Havre II 34 12 7 15 46:55 77
11 Viry-Chatillon 34 12 5 17 43:45 75
12 Le Mans II 34 10 11 13 41:47 75
13 Fontenay 34 10 9 15 30:43 73
14 Pacy Eure 34 10 9 15 34:49 73
15 Caen II 34 9 11 14 34:42 72
16 Pontivy 34 8 13 13 29:37 71
17 Lorient II 34 9 9 16 38:55 70
18 La Vitreenne 34 5 9 20 24:60 57
Promotion - National 2012/2013 (Main)