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La Vitreenne vs Fontenay

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CFA - Group D 2011/2012
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Match Events

38' Event
64' Event
65' Event

AI Match Summary

La Vitreenne in this CFA - Group D 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Vitreenne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
La Vitreenne
15%
Draws
73%
Fontenay
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fontenay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Fontenay have won more games recently than La Vitreenne.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Fontenay taking it.
  • Regular CFA - Group D 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
La Vitreenne Clean Sheet 20%
Fontenay Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Vitreenne Fontenay
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 4 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0.77 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2012 National 2 - Group D
La Vitreenne vs Fontenay
3:1
Sep 10, 2011 National 2 - Group D
Fontenay vs La Vitreenne
1:0
May 21, 2011 National 2 - Group D
La Vitreenne vs Fontenay
2:0
Jan 29, 2011 National 2 - Group D
Fontenay vs La Vitreenne
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Vitreenne 12 / 100
Fontenay 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Vitreenne Fontenay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fontenay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fontenay let in goals in 69% of their last 36 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Fontenay has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

La Vitreenne found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Fontenay
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

La Vitreenne

(Home)
02 Jun
La Vitreenne
0 : 1
Pacy Eure
26 May
Caen II
1 : 0
La Vitreenne
19 May
La Vitreenne
0 : 4
Carquefou
13 May
Le Havre II
0 : 0
La Vitreenne
04 May
La Vitreenne
1 : 3
Le Mans II
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Fontenay

(Away)
20 Dec
Fontenay
0 : 4
PSG
29 Nov
Fontenay
4 : 1
Chateauroux
15 Nov
Fontenay
1 : 0
Chamalieres
16 Nov
Fontenay
1 : 2
ESOF La Roche
07 Feb
Saumur Olympique
1 : 0
Fontenay
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carquefou 34 21 8 5 52:23 105
2 Lucon 34 21 8 5 63:38 105
3 Avranches 34 19 6 9 53:33 97
4 Plabennec 34 15 11 8 55:41 90
5 Romorantin 34 16 7 11 58:33 89
6 Les Herbiers 34 14 9 11 40:40 85
7 Concarneau 34 13 7 14 49:44 80
8 Mantes 34 13 7 14 45:44 79
9 Saumur Olympique 34 11 10 13 38:43 77
10 Le Havre II 34 12 7 15 46:55 77
11 Viry-Chatillon 34 12 5 17 43:45 75
12 Le Mans II 34 10 11 13 41:47 75
13 Fontenay 34 10 9 15 30:43 73
14 Pacy Eure 34 10 9 15 34:49 73
15 Caen II 34 9 11 14 34:42 72
16 Pontivy 34 8 13 13 29:37 71
17 Lorient II 34 9 9 16 38:55 70
18 La Vitreenne 34 5 9 20 24:60 57
Promotion - National 2012/2013 (Main)