Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Nomme Utd U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2025 Haapsalu Linnastaadion, Haapsalu
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Kaspar A.
20'
Kikas K.
28' Event
Kaspar A.

AI Match Summary

Nomme Utd U21 in this Esiliiga B 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nomme Utd U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Laanemaa Haapsalu
15%
Draws
85%
Nomme Utd U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nomme Utd U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Nomme Utd U21 have won more games recently than Laanemaa Haapsalu.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Nomme Utd U21 taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga B 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • History favors Nomme Utd U21 here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Laanemaa Haapsalu Clean Sheet 10%
Nomme Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laanemaa Haapsalu Nomme Utd U21
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 12
Draws 1 6
Losses 26 14
Goals Scored 0.9 1.88
Goals Conceded 4.2 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 3.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 Esiliiga B
Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Nomme Utd U21
1:5
Aug 18, 2025 Esiliiga B
Nomme Utd U21 vs Laanemaa Haapsalu
4:2
Jun 1, 2025 Esiliiga B
Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Nomme Utd U21
1:5
Apr 12, 2025 Esiliiga B
Nomme Utd U21 vs Laanemaa Haapsalu
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Laanemaa Haapsalu Compare

Top Goalscorer Henrique P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.08

Nomme Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaspar A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Molder K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.41
Avg xA / game 2.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laanemaa Haapsalu 10 / 100
Nomme Utd U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laanemaa Haapsalu Nomme Utd U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nomme Utd U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nomme Utd U21 let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Laanemaa Haapsalu's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Nomme Utd U21 registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Laanemaa Haapsalu VS Nomme Utd U21
0 Goals Scored 1.5
6 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Laanemaa Haapsalu

(Home)
22 Jul
Laanemaa Haapsalu
0 : 6
Elva
09 Nov
Legion
5 : 4
Laanemaa Haapsalu
01 Nov
Laanemaa Haapsalu
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21
26 Oct
Tartu Kalev
10 : 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu
23 Oct
Narva U21
5 : 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu
Page 1 of 6

Nomme Utd U21

(Away)
21 Sept
Kalju U21
2 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
13 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 0
Viimsi JK
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
06 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
03 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
0 : 1
Elva
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 28 5 3 116:39 89
2 Nomme Utd U21 36 23 3 10 93:53 72
3 Johvi Phoenix 36 21 5 10 95:61 68
4 Narva U21 36 21 3 12 87:53 66
5 Tartu Kalev 36 19 4 13 81:53 61
6 Tabasalu 36 13 8 15 60:67 47
7 Legion 36 13 5 18 66:94 44
8 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 11 8 17 65:71 41
9 Kuressaare U21 36 6 1 29 40:105 19
10 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 3 2 31 33:140 11
Promotion - Esiliiga (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2025 (Relegation)