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Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Vandra Vaprus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Esiliiga B 2021
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AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B 2021 game between Laanemaa Haapsalu and Vandra Vaprus finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Laanemaa Haapsalu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Laanemaa Haapsalu
15%
Draws
85%
Vandra Vaprus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vandra Vaprus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Vandra Vaprus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vandra Vaprus's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Laanemaa Haapsalu Clean Sheet 10%
Vandra Vaprus Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laanemaa Haapsalu Vandra Vaprus
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 2 4
Losses 27 17
Goals Scored 1.09 1.57
Goals Conceded 3.91 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2021 Esiliiga B
Vandra Vaprus vs Laanemaa Haapsalu
2:2
Sep 26, 2021 Esiliiga B
Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Vandra Vaprus
1:0
Aug 25, 2021 Esiliiga B
Vandra Vaprus vs Laanemaa Haapsalu
4:1
Jun 20, 2021 Esiliiga B
Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Vandra Vaprus
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laanemaa Haapsalu 10 / 100
Vandra Vaprus 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laanemaa Haapsalu Vandra Vaprus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vandra Vaprus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vandra Vaprus has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Away concern: Vandra Vaprus has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Laanemaa Haapsalu's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Laanemaa Haapsalu VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
3.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Laanemaa Haapsalu

(Home)
22 Jul
Laanemaa Haapsalu
0 : 6
Elva
09 Nov
Legion
5 : 4
Laanemaa Haapsalu
01 Nov
Laanemaa Haapsalu
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21
26 Oct
Tartu Kalev
10 : 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu
23 Oct
Narva U21
5 : 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu
Page 1 of 7

Vandra Vaprus

(Away)
28 Jun
Tallinna FC Zapoos
6 : 0
Vandra Vaprus
11 Aug
Tulevik
4 : 1
Vandra Vaprus
14 Nov
Vandra Vaprus
2 : 2
Laanemaa Haapsalu
06 Nov
Kalju U21
3 : 2
Vandra Vaprus
31 Oct
Legion U21
1 : 4
Vandra Vaprus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viimsi JK 27 17 7 3 71:24 58
2 Harju JK Laagri 27 16 3 8 69:43 51
3 FC Tallinn 27 14 2 11 59:49 44
4 FC Alliance 27 13 2 12 53:64 41
5 Tabasalu 27 12 4 11 58:51 40
6 Tallinna Kalev U21 27 12 3 12 63:58 39
7 Legion U21 27 12 0 15 63:74 36
8 Kalju U21 27 9 2 16 52:62 29
9 Vandra Vaprus 27 8 3 16 39:67 27
10 Laanemaa Haapsalu 27 8 2 17 56:91 26
Promotion - Esiliiga B 2021 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2021 (Relegation Group)
Promotion - Esiliiga B 2021 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2021 (Relegation Group)