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Laci vs Apolonia Fier

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 Stadiumi Laçi, Laçi
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Jiakponna H.
45' Event
Sula R.
73' Event
Myrta O.

AI Match Summary

Laci in this Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Laci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Laci
30%
Draws
16%
Apolonia Fier
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Laci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Laci have won more games recently than Apolonia Fier.
  • Model gives Laci a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Laci Clean Sheet 68%
Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laci Apolonia Fier
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 20 5
Draws 3 7
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1.93 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.68 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Laci vs Apolonia Fier
2:1
Dec 20, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Laci
0:2
Oct 3, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Laci vs Apolonia Fier
1:1
May 8, 2021 Abissnet Superiore
Apolonia Fier vs Laci
0:1
Mar 8, 2021 Abissnet Superiore
Laci vs Apolonia Fier
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Laci Compare

Top Goalscorer Jiakponna H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Myrta O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.84

Apolonia Fier Compare

Top Goalscorer Sula R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laci 59 / 100
Apolonia Fier 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laci Apolonia Fier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Laci Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Laci's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Apolonia Fier conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Laci stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Laci VS Apolonia Fier
1.75 Goals Scored 1.2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.6
75% Over 1.5 60%
63% Over 2.5 60%
38% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Laci

(Home)
19 Sept
Dinamo City
3 : 1
Laci
13 Sept
Laci
2 : 0
Vllaznia
05 Sept
Laci
1 : 3
Teuta
29 Aug
Partizani
1 : 2
Laci
22 Aug
Laci
1 : 1
AF Elbasani
Page 1 of 6

Apolonia Fier

(Away)
03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4
Burreli
25 Apr
Iliria Kruja
2 : 1
Apolonia Fier
19 Apr
Apolonia Fier
1 : 2
Besa Kavaje
11 Apr
Korabi Peshkopi
0 : 0
Apolonia Fier
04 Apr
Kukesi
2 : 0
Apolonia Fier
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laci 33 24 7 2 60:23 79
2 Skenderbeu Korca 33 24 5 4 57:25 77
3 Pogradeci 33 20 8 5 63:31 68
4 Iliria Kruja 33 11 12 10 32:33 45
5 Besa Kavaje 33 10 9 14 41:43 39
6 Kastrioti 33 11 6 16 44:57 39
7 Burreli 33 9 10 14 27:45 37
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 8 12 13 31:39 36
9 AF Luftetari 33 7 13 13 37:43 34
10 Kukesi 33 8 7 18 31:50 31
11 Apolonia Fier 33 6 10 17 31:44 28
12 Lushnja 33 5 11 17 26:47 26
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 (Relegation)