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Laci vs Besa Kavaje

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 Stadiumi Laçi, Laçi
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Doukouo L.
26' Event
Bibo S.
40' Event
Tresa L.

AI Match Summary

Laci in this Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Laci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Laci
20%
Draws
47%
Besa Kavaje
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Besa Kavaje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Laci lately — more wins on the board than Besa Kavaje.
  • Win probability leans Besa Kavaje's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Laci Clean Sheet 13%
Besa Kavaje Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laci Besa Kavaje
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 23 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.85 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Besa Kavaje vs Laci
1:0
Mar 18, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Laci vs Besa Kavaje
5:3
Feb 14, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Laci vs Besa Kavaje
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs Laci
0:0
Sep 30, 2015 Albanian Cup
Laci vs Besa Kavaje
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Laci Compare

Top Goalscorer Doukouo L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bibo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Besa Kavaje Compare

Top Goalscorer Rrena H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Migone R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laci 10 / 100
Besa Kavaje 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laci Besa Kavaje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besa Kavaje Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Laci scored in 91% of their last 34 outings.

Besa Kavaje has conceded goals in 74% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Laci went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Laci VS Besa Kavaje
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Laci

(Home)
19 Sept
Dinamo City
3 : 1
Laci
13 Sept
Laci
2 : 0
Vllaznia
05 Sept
Laci
1 : 3
Teuta
29 Aug
Partizani
1 : 2
Laci
22 Aug
Laci
1 : 1
AF Elbasani
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Besa Kavaje

(Away)
20 Sept
Beselidhja Lezha
2 : 1
Besa Kavaje
16 Sept
Besa Kavaje
5 : 0
KF Oriku
12 Sept
Sopoti Librazhd
0 : 4
Besa Kavaje
06 Sept
Besa Kavaje
3 : 3
Flamurtari
12 Aug
Kukesi
1 : 4
Besa Kavaje
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laci 33 24 7 2 60:23 79
2 Skenderbeu Korca 33 24 5 4 57:25 77
3 Pogradeci 33 20 8 5 63:31 68
4 Iliria Kruja 33 11 12 10 32:33 45
5 Besa Kavaje 33 10 9 14 41:43 39
6 Kastrioti 33 11 6 16 44:57 39
7 Burreli 33 9 10 14 27:45 37
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 8 12 13 31:39 36
9 AF Luftetari 33 7 13 13 37:43 34
10 Kukesi 33 8 7 18 31:50 31
11 Apolonia Fier 33 6 10 17 31:44 28
12 Lushnja 33 5 11 17 26:47 26
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 (Relegation)