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Lae City vs Ba

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Nawakula M.
45'
Raragia A.
45'
Rao N.

AI Match Summary

Lae City in this OFC Champions League 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lae City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Lae City
15%
Draws
71%
Ba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Ba have won more games recently than Lae City.
  • Win probability leans Ba's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Lae City Clean Sheet 10%
Ba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lae City Ba
Matches Played 26 35
Wins 7 19
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 2.04 2.57
Goals Conceded 2.65 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2018 OFC Champions League
Lae City vs Ba
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lae City Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanito T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ba Compare

Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lae City 10 / 100
Ba 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lae City Ba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lae City scored in 73% of their last 26 outings.

Defensive concern: Ba conceded in 74% of 35 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Lae City has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lae City VS Ba
2 Goals Scored 3.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lae City

(Home)
15 Aug
Rewa
2 : 1
Lae City
12 Aug
Lae City
1 : 3
ABM Galaxy
09 Aug
Lae City
4 : 1
Tupapa
18 Feb
Lae City
0 : 2
PNG Hekari
11 Feb
PNG Hekari
2 : 1
Lae City
Page 1 of 6

Ba

(Away)
09 Aug
Ba
6 : 0
Tailevu Naitasiri
01 Aug
Labasa
1 : 2
Ba
26 Jul
Ba
4 : 1
Lautoka
19 Jul
Ba
1 : 0
Navua
12 Jul
Suva
1 : 2
Ba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nalkutan 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Lae City 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Ba 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
4 Tupapa 3 0 0 3 3:15 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Dragon 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
2 Solomon Warriors 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
3 Erakor Golden Star 3 1 1 1 7:6 4
4 Lossi 3 0 1 2 3:12 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 13:0 9
2 Lautoka 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Venus 3 1 0 2 3:10 3
4 Madang Fox 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Team Wellington 3 2 1 0 13:3 7
2 Marist 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Magenta 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
4 Lupe ole Soaga 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)