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Laferrere vs Dep. Merlo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Ciudad de Laferrere Stadium, Buenos Aires
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Laferrere host Dep. Merlo in the Primera B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Laferrere at 1.24 goals for, 1.21 against; Dep. Merlo at 0.86 for, 1.31 against. Past meetings favor Laferrere slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 2, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.06 - 1.06) back Laferrere to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Laferrere
35%
Draws
32%
Dep. Merlo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Dep. Merlo haven't matched Laferrere's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Laferrere taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Laferrere Clean Sheet 20%
Dep. Merlo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laferrere Dep. Merlo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 10 11
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.24 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2026 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Laferrere
2:1
Jul 12, 2025 Primera B
Laferrere vs Dep. Merlo
2:2
Feb 23, 2025 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Laferrere
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Laferrere
0:0
May 19, 2024 Primera B
Laferrere vs Dep. Merlo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laferrere 42 / 100
Dep. Merlo 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laferrere Dep. Merlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Laferrere scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Dep. Merlo has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Laferrere stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Laferrere VS Dep. Merlo
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Laferrere

(Home)
03 Oct
Deportivo Camioneros
1 : 2
Laferrere
26 Sept
Laferrere
1 : 2
Sportivo Italiano
19 Sept
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1
Laferrere
12 Sept
Laferrere
1 : 1
Villa San Carlos
06 Sept
CSD Liniers
2 : 2
Laferrere
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Merlo

(Away)
05 Oct
Dep. Merlo
0 : 0
Brown Adrogue
26 Sept
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0
Dep. Merlo
20 Sept
Dep. Merlo
2 : 1
Flandria
13 Sept
Argentino de Quilmes
1 : 0
Dep. Merlo
05 Sept
Dep. Merlo
0 : 0
Defensores Unidos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 38 22 8 8 59:30 74
2 Arsenal Sarandi 38 19 12 7 50:25 69
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 38 19 10 9 40:23 67
4 Sportivo Italiano 38 18 11 9 45:28 65
5 Villa Dalmine 38 17 13 8 38:23 64
6 Deportivo Camioneros 38 17 12 9 43:29 63
7 Real Pilar 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
8 Deportivo Armenio 38 17 9 12 42:38 60
9 Comunicaciones 38 14 13 11 39:34 55
10 Laferrere 38 13 12 13 46:50 51
11 San Martin Burzaco 38 12 14 12 39:41 50
12 Dock Sud 38 11 14 13 40:42 47
13 Villa San Carlos 38 11 14 13 37:39 47
14 Argentino de Merlo 38 11 11 16 33:39 44
15 Dep. Merlo 38 10 14 14 36:51 44
16 Argentino de Quilmes 38 9 16 13 30:37 43
17 CSD Liniers 38 10 13 15 31:39 43
18 Defensores Unidos 38 9 14 15 33:39 41
19 Brown Adrogue 38 8 15 15 24:37 39
20 Flandria 38 10 9 19 34:48 39
21 UAI Urquiza 38 5 20 13 21:35 35
22 Ituzaingo 38 1 12 25 25:62 15
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)