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Lagarto vs America de Propria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sergipano matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Lagarto
15%
Draws
0%
America de Propria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lagarto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lagarto lately — more wins on the board than America de Propria.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Lagarto taking it.
  • Regular Sergipano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Lagarto Clean Sheet 68%
America de Propria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lagarto America de Propria
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.80 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Copa Governo (Sergipe)
America de Propria vs Lagarto
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Sergipano
Lagarto vs America de Propria
0:3
Feb 4, 2026 Sergipano
Lagarto vs America de Propria
0:0
Jan 11, 2025 Sergipano
Lagarto vs America de Propria
2:1
Jan 14, 2024 Sergipano
America de Propria vs Lagarto
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lagarto 95 / 100
America de Propria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lagarto America de Propria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lagarto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: America de Propria has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Lagarto scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

America de Propria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Lagarto VS America de Propria
1 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.6
75% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Lagarto

(Home)
19 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
2 : 0
Lagarto
13 Aug
Atletico Gloriense
0 : 0
Lagarto
10 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
2 : 0
Lagarto
05 Aug
Lagarto
2 : 0
Guarany SE
01 Aug
Lagarto
1 : 2
Falcon
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America de Propria

(Away)
13 Aug
Falcon
1 : 0
America de Propria
08 Aug
America de Propria
2 : 3
Guarany SE
05 Aug
America de Propria
1 : 5
Atletico Gloriense
01 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
3 : 2
America de Propria
29 Jul
America de Propria
0 : 1
Lagarto
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sergipe 9 6 2 1 13:6 20
2 Itabaiana 9 5 2 2 12:4 17
3 Lagarto 9 4 4 1 16:8 16
4 Confianca 9 4 3 2 10:6 15
5 Guarany SE 9 3 3 3 10:10 12
6 America de Propria 9 2 6 1 8:8 12
7 Falcon 9 3 2 4 8:10 11
8 Atletico Gloriense 9 3 1 5 14:13 10
9 Dorense 9 2 1 6 9:23 7
10 Desportiva Aracaju 9 0 2 7 5:17 2
Promotion - Sergipano (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sergipano (Play Offs)