Sport Picks
Lagarto vs Central SC
Brazil
Serie D 2025 Estadio Paulo Barreto de Menezes (Barretao), Lagarto 
Match Events
24'
24'
Felipe Cardoso
79'
79'
Paulo L.
82'
82'
Felipe Cardoso
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lagarto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Central SC come out ahead of Lagarto on wins alone.
- Model gives Lagarto a 41% chance of winning this.
- Central SC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Lagarto Clean Sheet 68%
Central SC Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lagarto | Central SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 12 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 0.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.87 | 0.59 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 10, 2025 Serie D
Lagarto vs Central SC
2:2
Aug 3, 2025 Serie D
Central SC vs Lagarto
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lagarto Compare
Top Goalscorer Felipe Cardoso
1 Goals Assists Leader Rhuann
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.43
Central SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Paulo L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hitalo Rogerio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.54
Avg xA / game 0.33
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lagarto 50 / 100
Central SC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lagarto Central SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lagarto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lagarto scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Lagarto remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Central SC let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Lagarto VS Central SC
0.88 Goals Scored 0.43
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.86
63% Over 1.5 43%
13% Over 2.5 14%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Lagarto
(Home) 13 Aug
Atletico Gloriense
0 : 0 Lagarto
10 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
2 : 0 Lagarto
05 Aug
Lagarto
2 : 0 Guarany SE
01 Aug
Lagarto
1 : 2 Falcon
29 Jul
America de Propria
0 : 1 Lagarto
Page 1 of 7
05 Aug
Lagarto
2 : 0 Guarany SE
01 Aug
Lagarto
1 : 2 Falcon
21 Jun
Lagarto
1 : 1 CSA
14 Jun
Lagarto
1 : 0 Decisao
16 May
Lagarto
1 : 1 Sergipe
Page 1 of 4
Central SC
(Away) 28 Jun
Ferroviario
2 : 0 Central SC
21 Jun
Central SC
1 : 1 Ferroviario
14 Jun
Central SC
2 : 1 Laguna RN
29 May
America RN
1 : 0 Central SC
23 May
Sousa
0 : 0 Central SC
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Ferroviario
2 : 0 Central SC
29 May
America RN
1 : 0 Central SC
23 May
Sousa
0 : 0 Central SC
02 May
ABC
1 : 1 Central SC
26 Apr
Maguary
0 : 2 Central SC
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Lagarto 2
Central SC 3
Tuna Luso 3
Maranhao 4
ASA 3
Ferroviario 0
Manauara 2
Sampaio Correa 1
AE Altos 8
Independencia Futebol Clube 2
Santa Cruz 4
Sergipe 3
America RN 3
Juazeirense 1
Imperatriz 3
Manaus FC 2
Portuguesa 1
Mixto 2
Cianorte 5
Joinville 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 4
FC Cascavel 0
Ceilandia 2
Agua Santa 1
Aparecidense 4
Marica 3
EC Sao Jose (PA) 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Internacional de Limeira 2
Marcilio Dias 1
Rio Branco ES 3
Luverdense 0
1/8-finals
Central SC 1
Maranhao 2
ASA 1
Manauara 0
AE Altos 1
Santa Cruz 2
America RN 1
Imperatriz 0
Mixto 1
Cianorte 3
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 2
Ceilandia 1
Aparecidense 3
Goiatuba EC 4
Internacional de Limeira 1
Rio Branco ES 0
Quarter-finals
Maranhao 4
ASA 0
Santa Cruz 2
America RN 1
Cianorte 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1
Goiatuba EC 0
Internacional de Limeira 1
Semi-finals
Maranhao 0
Santa Cruz 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 5
Internacional de Limeira 2
Final
Santa Cruz 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 2
