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Lagarto W vs Amadense W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano Women
Sun, Nov 23, 2025
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lagarto W host Amadense W in the Sergipano Women. Amadense W are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Lagarto W at 1.57 goals for, 4.43 against; Amadense W at 1.2 for, 1.6 against. Past meetings favor Lagarto W slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 23, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Amadense W. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lagarto W
25%
Draws
35%
Amadense W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Lagarto W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Amadense W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Amadense W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Lagarto W Clean Sheet 20%
Amadense W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lagarto W Amadense W
Matches Played 7 10
Wins 2 3
Draws 1 3
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 1.57 1.2
Goals Conceded 4.43 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 Sergipano Women
Lagarto W vs Amadense W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lagarto W 10 / 100
Amadense W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lagarto W Amadense W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amadense W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lagarto W's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Lagarto W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lagarto W VS Amadense W
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lagarto W

(Home)
03 Dec
Confianca W
4 : 0
Lagarto W
29 Nov
Estanciano EC W
5 : 2
Lagarto W
23 Nov
Lagarto W
2 : 2
Olimpico EC W
20 Nov
Juventude W
9 : 0
Lagarto W
15 Nov
Lagarto W
4 : 1
Desportiva Aracaju W
Page 1 of 2

Amadense W

(Away)

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Confianca W 6 5 1 0 55:2 16
2 Juventude W 6 5 1 0 50:0 16
3 Estanciano EC W 6 4 0 2 24:15 12
4 Lagarto W 6 2 1 3 11:27 7
5 Desportiva Aracaju W 6 2 0 4 8:21 6
6 Olimpico EC W 6 1 1 4 6:61 4
7 Atletico Central W 6 0 0 6 0:28 0
8 Socorro W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Amadense W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Forca Jovem Aquidaba W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Sergipano Women (Play Offs)