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Lago Verde vs Pinheiro

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2
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AI Match Summary

The Maranhense 2 game between Lago Verde and Pinheiro finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pinheiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lago Verde
30%
Draws
31%
Pinheiro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lago Verde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Lago Verde carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Lago Verde taking it.
  • Regular Maranhense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Lago Verde Clean Sheet 68%
Pinheiro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lago Verde Pinheiro
Matches Played 17 31
Wins 11 9
Draws 3 11
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 2.47 1.16
Goals Conceded 1 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Maranhense 2
Lago Verde vs Pinheiro
2:2
Jul 18, 2026 Maranhense 2
Pinheiro vs Lago Verde
0:2
Jun 21, 2026 Maranhense 2
Lago Verde vs Pinheiro
0:1
May 30, 2026 Maranhense 2
Pinheiro vs Lago Verde
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lago Verde 95 / 100
Pinheiro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lago Verde Pinheiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lago Verde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lago Verde scored in 94% of their last 17 outings.

Pinheiro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Lago Verde stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lago Verde VS Pinheiro
2.13 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lago Verde

(Home)
25 Jul
Lago Verde
1 : 2
Araioses
22 Jul
Lago Verde
2 : 2
Pinheiro
18 Jul
Pinheiro
0 : 2
Lago Verde
15 Jul
Lago Verde
5 : 2
Expressinho
11 Jul
Expressinho
0 : 1
Lago Verde
Page 1 of 4

Pinheiro

(Away)
22 Jul
Lago Verde
2 : 2
Pinheiro
18 Jul
Pinheiro
0 : 2
Lago Verde
15 Jul
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Pinheiro
11 Jul
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Sao Luis
28 Jun
Pinheiro
2 : 1
Viana
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araioses 5 4 1 0 6:0 13
2 Sao Luis 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
3 Tupan 5 1 3 1 6:6 6
4 Expressinho 5 2 0 3 5:6 6
5 Americano Bacabal 5 1 1 3 3:9 4
6 Sao Jose (MA) 5 1 0 4 4:8 3
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lago Verde 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
2 Pinheiro 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
3 Viana 4 0 1 3 2:13 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Timon EC (MA) 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
2 Cordino EC 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
3 Balsas 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)