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Lagoa vs Serpa Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lagoa Logo

Lagoa

0 - 0
FT
Serpa Logo

Serpa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D game between Lagoa and Serpa finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Lagoa
35%
Draws
35%
Serpa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lagoa come out ahead of Serpa on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Lagoa Clean Sheet 20%
Serpa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lagoa Serpa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.57 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lagoa vs Serpa
0:0
Jan 17, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lagoa vs Serpa
5:0
Aug 17, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Serpa vs Lagoa
2:1
Apr 13, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Serpa vs Lagoa
4:2
Jan 5, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lagoa vs Serpa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lagoa 32 / 100
Serpa 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lagoa Serpa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serpa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lagoa's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Serpa has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Lagoa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lagoa VS Serpa
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lagoa

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico CP
4 : 1
Lagoa
13 Sept
Lagoa
0 : 0
Serpa
06 Sept
Santa Clara B
1 : 2
Lagoa
23 Aug
Imortal
1 : 0
Lagoa
16 Aug
Aljustrelense
1 : 1
Lagoa
Page 1 of 6

Serpa

(Away)
26 Sept
Real SC
1 : 1
Serpa
20 Sept
Serpa
1 : 2
Louletano
13 Sept
Lagoa
0 : 0
Serpa
06 Sept
Serpa
1 : 1
1º Dezembro
29 Aug
Serpa
2 : 0
Grandolense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sintrense 4 3 1 0 11:3 10
2 Imortal 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Amora 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
4 Serpa 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
5 Real SC 3 1 2 0 7:6 5
6 GD Alcochetense 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
7 Juv. Evora 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
8 Lagoa 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
9 Portel 4 0 4 0 6:6 4
10 Vitoria Setubal 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
11 1º Dezembro 3 0 2 1 2:7 2
12 Aljustrelense 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
13 Lajense 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
14 Santa Clara B 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)