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Lagun Onak vs Uritarra

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022
Lagun Onak Logo

Lagun Onak

2 - 1
FT
Uritarra Logo

Uritarra

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 game between Lagun Onak and Uritarra finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lagun Onak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Lagun Onak
15%
Draws
48%
Uritarra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uritarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Lagun Onak carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Lagun Onak Clean Sheet 24%
Uritarra Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lagun Onak Uritarra
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1.03
Goals Conceded 1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Uritarra vs Lagun Onak
2:1
Dec 18, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Uritarra
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lagun Onak 37 / 100
Uritarra 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lagun Onak Uritarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uritarra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uritarra let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Lagun Onak's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lagun Onak remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lagun Onak VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lagun Onak

(Home)
03 Oct
Lagun Onak
1 : 2
UD Aretxabaleta
27 Sept
Santurtzi
0 : 1
Lagun Onak
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0
San Ignacio
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Leioa
Page 1 of 7

Uritarra

(Away)
30 Apr
Uritarra
2 : 1
Lagun Onak
23 Apr
CD Vitoria
1 : 0
Uritarra
13 Apr
Uritarra
1 : 0
Amurrio Club
09 Apr
Pasaia
0 : 2
Uritarra
02 Apr
Uritarra
2 : 3
Barakaldo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alaves B 38 21 13 4 72:31 76
2 Beasain 38 19 13 6 65:36 70
3 Portugalete 38 19 13 6 60:33 70
4 Barakaldo 38 20 9 9 64:46 69
5 Basconia 38 18 11 9 45:32 65
6 CD Vitoria 38 16 11 11 55:49 59
7 San Ignacio 38 17 7 14 57:48 58
8 SCD Durango 38 13 18 7 42:29 57
9 Leioa 38 15 11 12 55:38 56
10 Anaitasuna FT 38 14 10 14 48:49 52
11 Lagun Onak 38 13 12 13 42:44 51
12 Pasaia 38 13 11 14 36:43 50
13 SD Deusto 38 11 16 11 42:40 49
14 Urduliz FT 38 12 9 17 39:57 45
15 Aurrera Ondarroa 38 10 8 20 36:55 38
16 Santutxu FC 38 8 14 16 42:60 38
17 Uritarra 38 10 8 20 38:52 38
18 Amurrio Club 38 8 13 17 39:45 37
19 Beti Gazte 38 6 8 24 34:80 26
20 Tolosa 38 7 5 26 43:87 26
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 (Play Offs)