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Lagunak vs Cirbonero Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Leon M.
14' Event
Fuertes G.
32' Event
Tripiana A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 game between Lagunak and Cirbonero finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cirbonero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lagunak
35%
Draws
25%
Cirbonero
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lagunak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Cirbonero carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lagunak are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Lagunak Clean Sheet 68%
Cirbonero Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lagunak Cirbonero
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 7 11
Draws 9 13
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lagunak vs Cirbonero
1:2
Oct 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Lagunak
1:1
Mar 23, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lagunak vs Cirbonero
1:0
Nov 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Lagunak
3:1
Apr 5, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Lagunak
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lagunak Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuertes G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Cirbonero Compare

Top Goalscorer Leon M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tripiana A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lagunak 95 / 100
Cirbonero 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lagunak Cirbonero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lagunak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lagunak scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Cirbonero's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Lagunak has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cirbonero
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lagunak

(Home)
11 May
Lagunak
2 : 0
Huarte
04 May
Subiza
3 : 1
Lagunak
01 May
Lagunak
1 : 0
Oberena
27 Apr
Pamplona
1 : 1
Lagunak
21 Apr
Lagunak
0 : 0
Burlades
Page 1 of 6

Cirbonero

(Away)
27 Sept
Subiza
2 : 0
Cirbonero
20 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 0
CD Beti Onak
12 Sept
Txantrea
1 : 1
Cirbonero
05 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 4
Izarra
09 May
Cirbonero
2 : 0
Valle Egues
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Subiza 34 20 8 6 68:29 68
2 Cortes 34 17 12 5 40:23 63
3 CD Ardoi 34 18 8 8 49:23 62
4 Pena 34 14 15 5 53:39 57
5 Huarte 34 16 6 12 51:47 54
6 CD Cantolagua 34 15 9 10 55:45 54
7 CD Beti Onak 34 15 5 14 47:50 50
8 Cirbonero 34 12 8 14 46:49 44
9 Txantrea 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
10 Pamplona 34 10 12 12 45:45 42
11 Beti Kozkor 34 11 9 14 35:43 42
12 Bidezarra 34 9 15 10 42:38 42
13 Burlades 34 11 8 15 35:47 41
14 Oberena 34 11 7 16 43:49 40
15 Ezcabarte 34 10 10 14 42:51 40
16 Lagunak 34 8 10 16 35:52 34
17 Lerines 34 9 7 18 34:59 34
18 Alesves 34 7 6 21 34:63 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 (Play Offs)