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Lahden Reipas vs HAPK

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A 2025 Lahden kisapuisto, Lahti
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Paalanen A.
39' Event
Jokiranta V.
45' Event
Paalanen A.

AI Match Summary

Lahden Reipas in this Kakkonen Group A 2025 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lahden Reipas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Lahden Reipas
15%
Draws
28%
HAPK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lahden Reipas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Lahden Reipas have won more games recently than HAPK.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Lahden Reipas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Lahden Reipas have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Lahden Reipas Clean Sheet 68%
HAPK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lahden Reipas HAPK
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 19 5
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 2.84 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.76 3.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
Lahden Reipas vs HAPK
6:0
Aug 30, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
HAPK vs Lahden Reipas
0:7
Jul 8, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
HAPK vs Lahden Reipas
2:3
May 2, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
Lahden Reipas vs HAPK
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lahden Reipas Compare

Top Goalscorer Paalanen A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jokiranta V.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

HAPK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lahden Reipas 95 / 100
HAPK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lahden Reipas HAPK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lahden Reipas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lahden Reipas scored in 89% of their last 37 outings.

HAPK has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

HAPK lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lahden Reipas VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lahden Reipas

(Home)
22 Aug
Union Plaani
1 : 0
Lahden Reipas
16 Aug
Lahden Reipas
1 : 2
PEPO
07 Aug
Atlantis
4 : 2
Lahden Reipas
02 Aug
Lahden Reipas
2 : 1
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)
25 Jul
Lahden Reipas
4 : 2
MyPa
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HAPK

(Away)
14 Apr
HAPK
1 : 6
SJK
04 Oct
HAPK
3 : 2
JPS Jyvaskyla
27 Sept
Vaajakoski
4 : 2
HAPK
21 Sept
Lahden Reipas
6 : 0
HAPK
13 Sept
HAPK
0 : 3
Vaajakoski
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