Sport Picks

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Lahti W vs EBK W

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup Women Lahden Stadion, Lahti
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Martin P.
57' Event
Kiviniemi K.
82' Event
Savolainen E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Lahti W
20%
Draws
50%
EBK W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: EBK W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • EBK W have won more games recently than Lahti W.
  • EBK W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • EBK W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor EBK W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors EBK W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lahti W Clean Sheet 10%
EBK W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lahti W EBK W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 21
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 4
Goals Scored 1.28 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.69 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
EBK W vs Lahti W
1:0
May 27, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
Lahti W vs EBK W
1:2
May 9, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Lahti W vs EBK W
1:4
Aug 2, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Lahti W vs EBK W
1:4
May 24, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
EBK W vs Lahti W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lahti W Compare

Top Goalscorer Savolainen E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

EBK W Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kiviniemi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lahti W 10 / 100
EBK W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lahti W EBK W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EBK W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lahti W scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

EBK W has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Lahti W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lahti W VS EBK W
1 Goals Scored 1.5
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lahti W

(Home)
20 Sept
ONS Oulu W
0 : 2
Lahti W
12 Sept
Keski-Uusimaa W
7 : 0
Lahti W
30 Aug
Lahti W
1 : 3
HJK Akatemia W
22 Aug
TPS W
4 : 2
Lahti W
16 Aug
Lahti W
2 : 5
KTP W
Page 1 of 6

EBK W

(Away)
11 Sept
HJS W
1 : 0
EBK W
29 Aug
EBK W
2 : 2
PK-35 Vantaa W
23 Aug
EBK W
3 : 2
VIFK Vaasa W
16 Aug
JyPK W
1 : 1
EBK W
09 Aug
EBK W
0 : 1
Honka W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Aland United W 4
Tampere Utd W 0
Ilves W -
TBD -
Gnistan W 1
HIFK W 0
KuPS W -
TBD -
VPS W 3
FC PaRi Palokka W 2
NuPS W 0
PK-35 Vantaa W 8
HJK U18 W 4
Kiffen W 0
TBD -
HJK W -
EPS W 3
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) W 2
Lahti W 1
EBK W 2
Loviisa W 1
Keski-Uusimaa W 0
KTP W 0
Honka W 1
Apassit W 1
TPV W 2
TBD -
HPS W -
Athene FC W 3
Hertta W 2
WFA W 0
SJK-j Apollo W 1
1/8-finals
Aland United W 2
Ilves W 1
Gnistan W 0
KuPS W 2
VPS W 4
PK-35 Vantaa W 6
HJK U18 W 1
HJK W 6
EPS W 1
EBK W 4
Loviisa W 0
Honka W 8
TPV W 0
HPS W 4
Athene FC W 0
SJK-j Apollo W 3
Quarter-finals
Aland United W 1
KuPS W 2
PK-35 Vantaa W 1
HJK W 4
EBK W 4
Honka W 1
HPS W 5
SJK-j Apollo W 1
Semi-finals
KuPS W 0
HJK W 1
EBK W 0
HPS W 4
Final
HJK W 3
HPS W 1