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Lai Chi vs Monte Carlo

Macao Macao

Elite League 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2016 game between Lai Chi and Monte Carlo finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monte Carlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Lai Chi
15%
Draws
59%
Monte Carlo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monte Carlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monte Carlo come out ahead of Lai Chi on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Monte Carlo taking it.
  • Regular Elite League 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Monte Carlo have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lai Chi Clean Sheet 19%
Monte Carlo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lai Chi Monte Carlo
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 3 19
Draws 3 4
Losses 24 11
Goals Scored 0.93 2.85
Goals Conceded 5.03 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2018 Elite League
Lai Chi vs Monte Carlo
0:6
Feb 25, 2018 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Lai Chi
4:0
Jul 2, 2017 Elite League
Lai Chi vs Monte Carlo
1:9
Apr 9, 2017 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Lai Chi
9:2
May 19, 2016 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Lai Chi
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lai Chi 10 / 100
Monte Carlo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lai Chi Monte Carlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monte Carlo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 7.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Monte Carlo conceded in 68% of 34 recent games.

Lai Chi found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Lai Chi remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Monte Carlo
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lai Chi

(Home)
30 Jun
Hang Sai
2 : 1
Lai Chi
22 Jun
Lai Chi
0 : 7
Tak Chun Ka I
16 Jun
Lai Chi
0 : 5
Sporting Macau
10 Jun
Policia
2 : 5
Lai Chi
01 Jun
Lai Chi
0 : 6
Monte Carlo
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Monte Carlo

(Away)
03 Aug
University of Macau
2 : 1
Monte Carlo
19 Jul
Monte Carlo
1 : 1
Gala
14 Jul
Monte Carlo
2 : 0
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Monte Carlo
8 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
22 Jun
Monte Carlo
1 : 2
University of Macau
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 18 17 1 0 78:4 52
2 Tak Chun Ka I 18 13 2 3 46:12 41
3 Sporting Macau 18 11 4 3 50:15 37
4 Monte Carlo 18 11 2 5 79:19 35
5 Must IPO 18 10 3 5 42:17 33
6 Lai Chi 18 5 4 9 39:46 19
7 Policia 18 3 3 12 17:57 12
8 Kei Lun 18 3 3 12 16:59 12
9 Casa de Portugal 18 2 4 12 19:92 10
10 Chuac Lun 18 0 4 14 10:75 4
Promotion - AFC Cup 2017 (Qualification)