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Lajeadense vs GE Bage

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Grygor Fagundes Silva J.
74' Event
Lima V.

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 2025 game between Lajeadense and GE Bage finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Lajeadense
35%
Draws
49%
GE Bage
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: GE Bage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Lajeadense have managed 0.62 goals a game lately — GE Bage are scoring more at 0.67.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Lajeadense Clean Sheet 20%
GE Bage Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lajeadense GE Bage
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 5 5
Draws 8 12
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.62 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.23 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Gaucho 2
GE Bage vs Lajeadense
2:0
Jul 6, 2025 Gaucho 2
Lajeadense vs GE Bage
1:1
Jun 16, 2024 Gaucho 2
GE Bage vs Lajeadense
1:0
Jun 9, 2024 Gaucho 2
Lajeadense vs GE Bage
2:0
Jul 16, 2023 Gaucho 2
GE Bage vs Lajeadense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lajeadense Compare

Top Goalscorer Grygor Fagundes Silva J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

GE Bage Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lajeadense 32 / 100
GE Bage 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lajeadense GE Bage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GE Bage let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Lajeadense scored in 42% of their last 26 games.

Solid form: Lajeadense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lajeadense VS GE Bage
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lajeadense

(Home)
09 Sept
Lajeadense
1 : 2
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
06 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 0
Lajeadense
01 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 0
Lajeadense
23 Aug
Lajeadense
0 : 0
GE Gloria
20 Aug
Gramadense
1 : 1
Lajeadense
Page 1 of 6

GE Bage

(Away)
10 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 0
GE Bage
06 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1
SC Gaucho
01 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1
Passo Fundo
26 Aug
GE Bage
1 : 0
EC Guarani
22 Aug
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1 : 1
GE Bage
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aimore 14 9 4 1 16:5 31
2 Inter Santa Maria 14 8 5 1 16:7 29
3 Passo Fundo 14 7 6 1 20:12 27
4 Novo Hamburgo 14 7 3 4 17:8 24
5 Gramadense 14 6 6 2 13:9 24
6 Veranopolis 14 6 5 3 17:9 23
7 GE Bage 14 5 6 3 9:5 21
8 Lajeadense 14 5 6 3 13:14 21
9 Santa Cruz RS 14 4 6 4 12:11 18
10 Brasil de Farroupilha 14 4 3 7 15:20 15
11 GE Gloria 14 2 7 5 8:13 13
12 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 14 3 2 9 12:21 11
13 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 14 1 7 6 6:16 10
14 SC Gaucho 14 2 3 9 15:20 9
15 Real SC 14 0 3 11 4:23 3
16 Futvida 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Gaucho 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 (Main)