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Lajeadense vs GE Bage

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Grygor Fagundes Silva J.
74' Event
Lima V.

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 2025 game between Lajeadense and GE Bage finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lajeadense
44%
Draws
20%
GE Bage
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • GE Bage haven't matched Lajeadense's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 6%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Lajeadense Clean Sheet 29%
GE Bage Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lajeadense GE Bage
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 0.17 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.17 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.83 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2025 Gaucho 2
Lajeadense vs GE Bage
1:1
Jun 16, 2024 Gaucho 2
GE Bage vs Lajeadense
1:0
Jun 9, 2024 Gaucho 2
Lajeadense vs GE Bage
2:0
Jul 16, 2023 Gaucho 2
GE Bage vs Lajeadense
1:1
Apr 15, 2023 Gaucho 2
Lajeadense vs GE Bage
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lajeadense Compare

Top Goalscorer Grygor Fagundes Silva J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.13
Avg xA / game 0.09

GE Bage Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lajeadense 38 / 100
GE Bage 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lajeadense GE Bage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lajeadense scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

GE Bage let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Lajeadense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lajeadense VS GE Bage
0.17 Goals Scored 0.38
0.83 Goals Conceded 0.75
33% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lajeadense

(Home)
05 Aug
Aimore
2 : 0
Lajeadense
31 Jul
Lajeadense
0 : 1
Aimore
27 Jul
Lajeadense
0 : 0
Real SC
23 Jul
Aimore
1 : 0
Lajeadense
20 Jul
GE Gloria
1 : 1
Lajeadense
Page 1 of 6

GE Bage

(Away)
05 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 1
GE Bage
27 Jun
GE Bage
0 : 1
Gramadense
17 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 2
GE Bage
14 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 2
Guarany de Bage
04 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aimore1494116:531
2Inter Santa Maria1485116:729
3Passo Fundo1476120:1227
4Novo Hamburgo1473417:824
5Gramadense1466213:924
6Veranopolis1465317:923
7GE Bage145639:521
8Lajeadense1456313:1421
9Santa Cruz RS1446412:1118
10Brasil de Farroupilha1443715:2015
11GE Gloria142758:1313
12Esportivo Bento Goncalves1432912:2111
13Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol141766:1610
14SC Gaucho1423915:209
15Real SC1403114:233
16Futvida00000:00
Promotion - Gaucho 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2026 (Main)