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Lajeadense vs Pelotas

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Thiago Andre

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 game between Lajeadense and Pelotas finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pelotas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Lajeadense
20%
Draws
73%
Pelotas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pelotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pelotas come out ahead of Lajeadense on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Gaucho 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Lajeadense Clean Sheet 16%
Pelotas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lajeadense Pelotas
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.78 1.42
Goals Conceded 1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.47
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Gaucho 2
Lajeadense vs Pelotas
0:1
Jun 19, 2024 Gaucho 2
Lajeadense vs Pelotas
2:1
Jun 6, 2024 Gaucho 2
Pelotas vs Lajeadense
1:1
Jun 10, 2023 Gaucho 2
Pelotas vs Lajeadense
1:3
May 21, 2023 Gaucho 2
Lajeadense vs Pelotas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lajeadense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Pelotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiago Andre
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.34
Avg xA / game 0.82

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lajeadense 31 / 100
Pelotas 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lajeadense Pelotas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Lajeadense scored in 52% of their last 27 outings.

Pelotas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Lajeadense stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lajeadense VS Pelotas
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0.57 Goals Conceded 0.38
14% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lajeadense

(Home)
02 Aug
Lajeadense
0 : 1
Pelotas
05 Aug
Aimore
2 : 0
Lajeadense
31 Jul
Lajeadense
0 : 1
Aimore
27 Jul
Lajeadense
0 : 0
Real SC
23 Jul
Aimore
1 : 0
Lajeadense
Page 1 of 6

Pelotas

(Away)
02 Aug
Lajeadense
0 : 1
Pelotas
23 Nov
Pelotas
0 : 2
Aimore
20 Nov
Aimore
1 : 2
Pelotas
09 Nov
Pelotas
3 : 0
Sao Gabriel
02 Nov
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 1
Pelotas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pelotas 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Passo Fundo 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
3 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
4 Brasil de Pelotas 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
5 Aimore 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
6 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
7 Santa Cruz RS 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
8 Veranopolis 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
9 Apafut 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
10 GE Bage 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
11 Gramadense 3 1 0 2 1:3 3
12 Brasil de Farroupilha 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
13 EC Guarani 3 0 2 1 0:2 2
14 SC Gaucho 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
15 GE Gloria 3 0 1 2 0:2 1
16 Lajeadense 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)