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Lajense vs Juv. Evora Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sun, Oct 4, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lajense host Juv. Evora in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group D. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Lajense have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Juv. Evora's 1.58 scored and 1.06 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 2.25) point toward Juv. Evora. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Lajense
30%
Draws
47%
Juv. Evora
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Juv. Evora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Juv. Evora carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Juv. Evora a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Lajense Clean Sheet 10%
Juv. Evora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lajense Juv. Evora
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 8 15
Draws 9 12
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.38 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lajense 14 / 100
Juv. Evora 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lajense Juv. Evora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juv. Evora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lajense's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Juv. Evora conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.

Lajense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Juv. Evora has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lajense VS Juv. Evora
2 Goals Scored 2.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lajense

(Home)
27 Sept
Amora
1 : 0
Lajense
20 Sept
AD Fafe
4 : 0
Lajense
13 Sept
Real SC
5 : 5
Lajense
06 Sept
Lajense
0 : 1
Vitoria Setubal
18 Apr
Lajense
1 : 0
Os Marialvas
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Juv. Evora

(Away)
20 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 2
Juv. Evora
13 Sept
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 2
Juv. Evora
06 Sept
Juv. Evora
1 : 1
Portel
30 Aug
Uniao Montemor
1 : 4
Juv. Evora
16 Aug
Juv. Evora
3 : 2
GD Alcochetense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sintrense 4 3 1 0 11:3 10
2 Imortal 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Amora 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
4 Serpa 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
5 Real SC 3 1 2 0 7:6 5
6 GD Alcochetense 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
7 Juv. Evora 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
8 Lagoa 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
9 Portel 4 0 4 0 6:6 4
10 Vitoria Setubal 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
11 1º Dezembro 3 0 2 1 2:7 2
12 Aljustrelense 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
13 Lajense 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
14 Santa Clara B 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)