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Lajong vs North East United

India India

Durand Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Tlang R.

AI Match Summary

The Durand Cup 2025 game between Lajong and North East United finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward North East United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Lajong
6%
Draws
4%
North East United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lajong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lajong's 2 goals per match outpaces what North East United have produced (1.38).
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Lajong taking it.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Durand Cup 2025 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors North East United here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Lajong Clean Sheet 20%
North East United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lajong North East United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2025 Durand Cup
Lajong vs North East United
0:1
Aug 8, 2025 Durand Cup
Lajong vs North East United
1:2
Aug 26, 2024 Durand Cup
Lajong vs North East United
0:3
Jan 15, 2024 Super Cup
North East United vs Lajong
2:1
Aug 4, 2023 Durand Cup
North East United vs Lajong
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lajong Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

North East United Compare

Top Goalscorer Tlang R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lajong 85 / 100
North East United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lajong North East United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Lajong remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Lajong scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: North East United conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Lajong VS North East United
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Lajong2
Indian Navy1
Bodoland FC0
North East United4
Jamshedpur0
Diamond Harbour2
Mohun Bagan1
East Bengal2
Semi-finals
Lajong0
North East United1
Diamond Harbour2
East Bengal1
Final
North East United6
Diamond Harbour1