Sport Picks
Lake Macquarie vs South Cardiff - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
Northern NSW State League 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Northern NSW State League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
35%
12%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lake Macquarie
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lake Macquarie lately — more wins on the board than South Cardiff.
- Win probability leans Lake Macquarie's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Lake Macquarie Clean Sheet 20%
South Cardiff Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lake Macquarie | South Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2.83 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.06 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Northern NSW State League
Lake Macquarie vs South Cardiff
2:2
May 16, 2026 Northern NSW State League
South Cardiff vs Lake Macquarie
1:6
Jun 11, 2025 Northern NSW State League
South Cardiff vs Lake Macquarie
2:1
Mar 14, 2025 Northern NSW State League
Lake Macquarie vs South Cardiff
2:3
Aug 10, 2014 NPL Northern NSW
Lake Macquarie vs South Cardiff
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lake Macquarie 85 / 100
South Cardiff 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lake Macquarie South Cardiff
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lake Macquarie Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lake Macquarie scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: South Cardiff conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.
Lake Macquarie has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lake Macquarie VS South Cardiff
4.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Lake Macquarie
(Home) 15 Aug
Toronto Awaba Stags
1 : 4 Lake Macquarie
09 Aug
Lake Macquarie
2 : 2 South Cardiff
01 Aug
Lake Macquarie
3 : 0 Singleton Strikers
25 Jul
New Lambton
1 : 5 Lake Macquarie
11 Jul
Newcastle Croatia
1 : 2 Lake Macquarie
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Lake Macquarie
2 : 2 South Cardiff
01 Aug
Lake Macquarie
3 : 0 Singleton Strikers
28 Jun
Lake Macquarie
7 : 2 Dudley Redhead United
24 Jun
Lake Macquarie
7 : 1 West Wallsend FC
20 Jun
Lake Macquarie
5 : 0 Cessnock City Hornets
Page 1 of 3
South Cardiff
(Away) 15 Aug
West Wallsend FC
1 : 1 South Cardiff
09 Aug
Lake Macquarie
2 : 2 South Cardiff
02 Aug
South Cardiff
1 : 4 Wallsend Red Devils
26 Jul
South Cardiff
0 : 0 Dudley Redhead United
11 Jul
Singleton Strikers
1 : 0 South Cardiff
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
West Wallsend FC
1 : 1 South Cardiff
09 Aug
Lake Macquarie
2 : 2 South Cardiff
11 Jul
Singleton Strikers
1 : 0 South Cardiff
20 Jun
Toronto Awaba Stags
1 : 0 South Cardiff
14 Jun
Cessnock City Hornets
0 : 2 South Cardiff
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lake Macquarie | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 64:24 | 41 |
| 2 | Wallsend Red Devils | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 58:26 | 40 |
| 3 | Newcastle Croatia | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 45:37 | 33 |
| 4 | New Lambton | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 41:30 | 32 |
| 5 | Dudley Redhead United | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 6 | Cessnock City Hornets | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 31:40 | 20 |
| 7 | West Wallsend FC | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 27:47 | 19 |
| 8 | Singleton Strikers | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20:42 | 18 |
| 9 | South Cardiff | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 15:32 | 13 |
| 10 | Toronto Awaba Stags | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 23:46 | 13 |
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Main)
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)
