Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lalin vs CD Ourense

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Ourense in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Ourense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Lalin
30%
Draws
23%
CD Ourense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lalin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • CD Ourense have won more games recently than Lalin.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Lalin taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors CD Ourense here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Lalin Clean Sheet 20%
CD Ourense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lalin CD Ourense
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lalin vs CD Ourense
1:3
Oct 2, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Ourense vs Lalin
1:0
May 2, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lalin vs CD Ourense
1:2
Dec 20, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Ourense vs Lalin
2:0
Feb 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lalin vs CD Ourense
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lalin 36 / 100
CD Ourense 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lalin CD Ourense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lalin's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Lalin remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

CD Ourense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lalin VS CD Ourense
0.8 Goals Scored 1
0.6 Goals Conceded 1.25
40% Over 1.5 75%
20% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lalin

(Home)
27 Sept
Lalin
1 : 1
Barco
20 Sept
Arenteiro
1 : 0
Lalin
13 Sept
Lalin
1 : 0
Somozas
06 Sept
Gran Pena
1 : 2
Lalin
13 May
Xuventu Sanxenxo
0 : 1
Lalin
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CD Ourense

(Away)
11 May
CD Ourense
3 : 0
SD Logrones
04 May
Racing Santander
1 : 1
CD Ourense
27 Apr
CD Ourense
1 : 1
Leonesa
20 Apr
Zamora
2 : 1
CD Ourense
13 Apr
CD Ourense
0 : 1
Guijuelo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 36 26 4 6 65:33 82
2 Cerceda 36 21 7 8 52:29 70
3 CD Ourense 36 19 11 6 70:34 68
4 Coruxo FC 36 17 13 6 54:32 64
5 Naron 36 18 5 13 49:45 59
6 Alondras 36 14 12 10 48:38 54
7 SD Ordenes 36 15 8 13 46:43 53
8 SD Negreira 36 14 9 13 41:37 51
9 Racing Club Villalbes 36 12 12 12 36:37 48
10 Rapido de Bouzas 36 12 11 13 37:35 47
11 Santa Comba 36 13 7 16 44:48 46
12 Villalonga 36 11 11 14 36:39 44
13 CD Cultural Areas 36 11 11 14 34:50 44
14 Bergantinos 36 11 9 16 30:49 42
15 Pontevedra B 36 11 7 18 44:47 40
16 Somozas 36 11 6 19 40:56 39
17 Lalin 36 9 11 16 38:51 38
18 Celtiga 36 8 12 16 37:45 36
19 Verin CF 36 3 6 27 26:79 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)