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Lambton Jaffas FC vs Adamstown Rosebud

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW Arthur Edden Oval
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lambton Jaffas FC play Adamstown Rosebud in the NPL Northern NSW. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lambton Jaffas FC averaged 2.23 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Adamstown Rosebud averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. In past meetings, Lambton Jaffas FC won 3, Adamstown Rosebud won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 20, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Lambton Jaffas FC and 1.38 for Adamstown Rosebud. This points to a Lambton Jaffas FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Lambton Jaffas FC
19%
Draws
28%
Adamstown Rosebud
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Lambton Jaffas FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Lambton Jaffas FC picked up more points recently compared to Adamstown Rosebud.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Lambton Jaffas FC Clean Sheet 17%
Adamstown Rosebud Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lambton Jaffas FC Adamstown Rosebud
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2.23 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Lambton Jaffas FC vs Adamstown Rosebud
1:1
Apr 29, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs Lambton Jaffas FC
1:2
Jun 14, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs Lambton Jaffas FC
0:1
Mar 9, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Lambton Jaffas FC vs Adamstown Rosebud
0:1
Aug 18, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs Lambton Jaffas FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lambton Jaffas FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Waller T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Adamstown Rosebud Compare

Top Goalscorer Buck T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lambton Jaffas FC 51 / 100
Adamstown Rosebud 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lambton Jaffas FC Adamstown Rosebud

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lambton Jaffas FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Lambton Jaffas FC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lambton Jaffas FC attacking → ← attacking Adamstown Rosebud

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lambton Jaffas FC scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Adamstown Rosebud let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Lambton Jaffas FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Adamstown Rosebud lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 30
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Broadmeadow Magic FC17114247:2137
2Belmont Swansea United1795340:3032
3Weston Workers Bears1793534:2930
4Maitland1793533:2830
5Edgeworth Eagles FC1785434:2929
6Cooks Hill United1875636:3126
7Lambton Jaffas FC1864835:2922
8Newcastle Olympic1746732:3018
9Adamstown Rosebud1845925:3617
10Valentine1744915:3416
11Kahibah16421024:3814
12Charlestown Azzurri17421124:4414