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Lambton Jaffas FC vs Weston Workers Bears

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW Arthur Edden Oval
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lambton Jaffas FC play Weston Workers Bears in the NPL Northern NSW. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lambton Jaffas FC averaged 2.24 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Weston Workers Bears averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Lambton Jaffas FC won 3, Weston Workers Bears won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Lambton Jaffas FC and 1.25 for Weston Workers Bears. This points to a Lambton Jaffas FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Lambton Jaffas FC
15%
Draws
42%
Weston Workers Bears
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lambton Jaffas FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Lambton Jaffas FC picked up more points recently compared to Weston Workers Bears.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 95%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Lambton Jaffas FC Clean Sheet 19%
Weston Workers Bears Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lambton Jaffas FC Weston Workers Bears
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.24 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Lambton Jaffas FC vs Weston Workers Bears
0:2
Aug 31, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Weston Workers Bears vs Lambton Jaffas FC
0:2
Jul 9, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Weston Workers Bears vs Lambton Jaffas FC
0:2
Jun 28, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Lambton Jaffas FC vs Weston Workers Bears
1:4
Jun 16, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
Weston Workers Bears vs Lambton Jaffas FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lambton Jaffas FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Weston Workers Bears Compare

Top Goalscorer Law C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beveridge B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lambton Jaffas FC 43 / 100
Weston Workers Bears 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lambton Jaffas FC Weston Workers Bears

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lambton Jaffas FC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lambton Jaffas FC attacking → ← attacking Weston Workers Bears

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lambton Jaffas FC scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Weston Workers Bears let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Lambton Jaffas FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Weston Workers Bears lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 52
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Broadmeadow Magic FC17114247:2137
2Belmont Swansea United1795340:3032
3Edgeworth Eagles FC1785434:2929
4Weston Workers Bears1683531:2727
5Maitland1683530:2727
6Cooks Hill United1765632:3123
7Lambton Jaffas FC1764733:2622
8Newcastle Olympic1746732:3018
9Adamstown Rosebud1745824:3317
10Valentine1744915:3416
11Kahibah16421024:3814
12Charlestown Azzurri16421024:4014