Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group I

A.C. Savoia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lamezia play A.C. Savoia in the Serie D - Group I. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lamezia averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1 conceded. A.C. Savoia averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Lamezia won 1, A.C. Savoia won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 12, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.63 for Lamezia and 1.44 for A.C. Savoia. This points to a A.C. Savoia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Lamezia

16%

Draws

53%

A.C. Savoia

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: A.C. Savoia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Lamezia picked up more points recently compared to A.C. Savoia.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.63 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Lamezia Clean Sheet 16%

A.C. Savoia Clean Sheet 21%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lamezia	A.C. Savoia
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	9	18
Draws	9	5
Losses	12	8
Goals Scored	1.27	1.87
Goals Conceded	1	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group I

Lamezia vs A.C. Savoia

Possession: 51% - 49% Cards: 2 - 4

1:2

Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group I

A.C. Savoia vs Lamezia

Possession: 49% - 56% Cards: 2 - 4

2:1

Jan 17, 2015 Serie C - Group C

A.C. Savoia vs Lamezia

Possession: 52% - 49% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

Sep 6, 2014 Serie C - Group C

Lamezia vs A.C. Savoia

Possession: 55% - 45% Cards: 1 - 2

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lamezia Compare

Top Goalscorer Spano D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

A.C. Savoia Compare

Top Goalscorer Favetta C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Nussbaumer D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lamezia 31 / 100

A.C. Savoia 52 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lamezia A.C. Savoia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A.C. Savoia Win (2)

Secondary Pick A.C. Savoia & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lamezia attacking → ← attacking A.C. Savoia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lamezia scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

A.C. Savoia let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Lamezia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

A.C. Savoia lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 59

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	A.C. Savoia	34	20	9	5	63:29	69
2	Nissa	34	19	10	5	51:27	67
3	Reggina	34	20	6	8	44:23	66
4	Athletic Palermo	34	18	6	10	59:47	60
5	Gelbison	34	17	9	8	44:32	60
6	Sambiase	34	14	11	9	38:30	53
7	Igea Virtus	34	15	13	6	49:36	53
8	Milazzo	34	12	8	14	31:36	44
9	Gela	34	13	5	16	41:44	43
10	Lamezia	34	11	9	14	43:35	42
11	Castrumfavara	34	10	8	16	38:47	38
12	Enna	34	8	12	14	50:53	36
13	Vibonese	34	8	11	15	32:47	35
14	USD Ragusa	34	7	13	14	23:34	34
15	ACR Messina	34	11	13	10	28:33	32
16	AS Acireale	34	7	12	15	37:50	32
17	Sancataldese	34	7	8	19	31:49	29
18	Paterno	34	4	7	23	22:72	19