Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lamezia vs A.C. Savoia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Spano D.
59' Event
Favetta C.
90' Event
Nussbaumer D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 game between Lamezia and A.C. Savoia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward A.C. Savoia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lamezia
35%
Draws
29%
A.C. Savoia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lamezia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • A.C. Savoia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors A.C. Savoia here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Lamezia Clean Sheet 15%
A.C. Savoia Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lamezia A.C. Savoia
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 15
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.31 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Lamezia vs A.C. Savoia
1:2
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group I
A.C. Savoia vs Lamezia
2:1
Jan 17, 2015 Serie C - Group C
A.C. Savoia vs Lamezia
2:1
Sep 6, 2014 Serie C - Group C
Lamezia vs A.C. Savoia
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lamezia Compare

Top Goalscorer Spano D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

A.C. Savoia Compare

Top Goalscorer Favetta C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nussbaumer D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lamezia 31 / 100
A.C. Savoia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lamezia A.C. Savoia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Lamezia scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: A.C. Savoia conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: Lamezia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lamezia VS A.C. Savoia
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lamezia

(Home)
04 Oct
Lamezia
2 : 0
Castrumfavara
27 Sept
Sambiase
4 : 1
Lamezia
20 Sept
Lamezia
0 : 3
Reggina
16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1
Lamezia
12 Sept
Lamezia
2 : 2
Igea Virtus
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A.C. Savoia

(Away)
03 Oct
Monopoli
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
26 Sept
Cavese
4 : 2
A.C. Savoia
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Casarano
15 Sept
Foggia
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Crotone
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)