Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lamphun Warrior vs Chonburi Prediction & H2H Stats

Thailand Thailand

League Cup 700th Anniversary Stadium, Chiang Mai
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
van Lingen O.
51' Event
Burapha Y.
81' Event
van Lingen O.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Lamphun Warrior
30%
Draws
47%
Chonburi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chonburi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chonburi lately — more wins on the board than Lamphun Warrior.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Chonburi arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chonburi, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lamphun Warrior Clean Sheet 17%
Chonburi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lamphun Warrior Chonburi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 15 4
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 League Cup
Lamphun Warrior vs Chonburi
0:3
Jan 17, 2026 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Lamphun Warrior
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Thai League 1
Lamphun Warrior vs Chonburi
2:2
Feb 17, 2024 Thai League 1
Lamphun Warrior vs Chonburi
2:1
Sep 17, 2023 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Lamphun Warrior
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lamphun Warrior Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Chonburi Compare

Top Goalscorer van Lingen O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Burapha Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lamphun Warrior 36 / 100
Chonburi 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lamphun Warrior Chonburi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chonburi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chonburi conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Lamphun Warrior scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Chonburi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lamphun Warrior VS Chonburi
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lamphun Warrior

(Home)
19 Sept
Rasisalai United
1 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
11 Sept
Port MTI FC
2 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
06 Sept
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 4
Uthai Thani
17 May
Prachuap
1 : 0
Lamphun Warrior
10 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
Page 1 of 6

Chonburi

(Away)
20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
13 Sept
Chonburi
2 : 3
Rayong FC
05 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Chonburi
10 May
Chonburi
2 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
02 May
Kanchanaburi
2 : 2
Chonburi
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Pattani 2
Ratchaburi 0
Nakhon Pathom 0
Uthai Thani 2
Thonburi United 0
Buriram United F.C. 4
Samut Sakhon City 0
Prachuap 2
Bangkok FC 0
Muang Thong Utd 4
Uttaradit FC 0
Pathum United 4
Mahasarakham 2
Rayong FC 1
Lopburi City 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 2
Satun FC 0
Lamphun Warrior 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya 1
Chonburi 5
Thap Luang United 1
Chiangrai Utd 0
Customs Utd 2
Sukhothai 3
Chainat Hornbill 0
Port MTI FC 5
Bankhai United 0
Ayutthaya United 1
Khonkaen United 1
Kanchanaburi 0
Pattaya United 0
Bangkok Utd 3
1/8-finals
Pattani 2
Uthai Thani 1
Buriram United F.C. 3
Prachuap 2
Muang Thong Utd 0
Pathum United 2
Mahasarakham 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 0
Lamphun Warrior 0
Chonburi 3
Thap Luang United 1
Sukhothai 0
Port MTI FC 2
Ayutthaya United 1
Khonkaen United 3
Bangkok Utd 2
Quarter-finals
Pattani 0
Buriram United F.C. 3
Pathum United 3
Mahasarakham 0
Chonburi 1
Thap Luang United 0
Port MTI FC 7
Khonkaen United 0
Semi-finals
Buriram United F.C. 0
Pathum United 1
Chonburi 3
Port MTI FC 4
Final
Pathum United 0
Port MTI FC 1