Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lancaster vs Mildenhall

England England

FA Trophy 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Kilifin T.

AI Match Summary

Lancaster in this FA Trophy 2017/2018 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Lancaster
15%
Draws
36%
Mildenhall
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lancaster

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mildenhall lately — more wins on the board than Lancaster.
  • Lancaster are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Mildenhall arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lancaster, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Lancaster Clean Sheet 20%
Mildenhall Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lancaster Mildenhall
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.32 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.46 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2017 FA Trophy
Lancaster vs Mildenhall
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lancaster Compare

Top Goalscorer Kilifin T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Mildenhall Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lancaster 85 / 100
Mildenhall 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lancaster Mildenhall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lancaster Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lancaster's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Mildenhall's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Mildenhall has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lancaster VS Mildenhall
2 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Lancaster

(Home)
22 Aug
Lancaster
2 : 2
Quorn
18 Aug
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1
Lancaster
15 Aug
Lancaster
1 : 2
Hyde
11 Aug
Lancaster
1 : 0
Warrington Rylands
08 Aug
Ashton United
4 : 1
Lancaster
Page 1 of 6

Mildenhall

(Away)
10 Jul
Mildenhall
1 : 4
Bury Town
20 Sept
Stanway Rovers
3 : 0
Mildenhall
06 Sept
Stotfold
0 : 2
Mildenhall
30 Aug
Sudbury
4 : 0
Mildenhall
04 Jul
Mildenhall
2 : 3
Lakenheath
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Brackley 4
Salford 0
Cray Wanderers 0
Braintree 3
Nuneaton 5
North Ferriby United 1
TBD -
Barrow -
Hendon 3
Slough Town 2
Margate 2
Bath City 3
Truro 3
Lewes 1
TBD -
Sutton -
Maidenhead -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Macclesfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Kidderminster 4
Boston United 2
Coalville Town 1
York City 3
Lancaster 1
Mildenhall 0
Southport 2
Stockport County 5
Billericay 2
Hungerford 0
Dorking Wanderers 1
Havant & Waterlooville 3
Leamington 3
Curzon Ashton 1
Bradford PA 2
Stourbridge 3
St. Albans 3
Poole Town 1
Chippenham Town 1
Whitehawk 2
Wrexham -
TBD -
Darlington FC 2
Harrogate 3
Warrington Town 5
Tamworth 2
Alfreton 0
Altrincham 2
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Hereford 2
Oxford City 1
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Wingate & Finchley 1
Metropolitan Police 0
Chelmsford 2
Wealdstone 3
Bromley -
TBD -
Farnborough 1
Hartley Wintney 2
Telford 4
Droylsden 2
Stalybridge 1
Blyth Spartans 2
Weston-super-Mare 1
Welling 0
Gloucester City 1
Chesham 2
Hartlepool -
TBD -
Glossop North End 1
Workington 5
East Thurrock Utd 3
Shortwood 1
TBD -
Aldershot -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
Tranmere -
Gainsborough 2
Stafford 0
Cleethorpes 1
Spennymoor 2
Leyton Orient -
TBD -
Thame United 1
Haringey Borough 3
Taunton Town 3
Concord Rangers 2
Hemel Hempstead 1
Bognor Regis 2
Marine 1
United of Manchester 0
Grantham Town 3
Chorley 4
Eastbourne Borough 4
Royston Town 3
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Maidstone -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
Hampton & Richmond 5
Harlow 1
Kingstonian 3
Heybridge 7
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
Brentwood 1
Dartford 2
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
1/32-finals
Brackley 2
Braintree 0
Nuneaton 0
Barrow 1
Hendon 2
Bath City 1
Truro 0
Sutton 1
Maidenhead 2
Woking 0
Macclesfield 0
Halifax 1
Kidderminster 2
York City 1
Lancaster 1
Stockport County 3
Billericay 3
Havant & Waterlooville 1
Leamington 0
Stourbridge 1
St. Albans 2
Whitehawk 1
Wrexham 0
Harrogate 2
Warrington Town 2
Altrincham 1
Eastleigh 1
Ebbsfleet 2
Hereford 3
Dagenham & Red. 2
Wingate & Finchley 0
Wealdstone 1
Bromley 2
Hartley Wintney 0
Telford 0
Blyth Spartans 1
Weston-super-Mare 2
Chesham 0
Hartlepool 0
Workington 1
East Thurrock Utd 4
Aldershot 0
AFC Fylde 2
Chester 3
Solihull Moors 2
Tranmere 0
Gainsborough 4
Spennymoor 5
Leyton Orient 2
Haringey Borough 1
Taunton Town 1
Bognor Regis 4
Marine 3
Chorley 1
Eastbourne Borough 0
Dover Ath. 3
Maidstone 4
Torquay 0
Hampton & Richmond 3
Heybridge 4
Boreham Wood 4
Dartford 3
Guiseley 1
Gateshead 2
1/16-finals
Brackley 2
Barrow 0
Hendon 0
Sutton 3
Maidenhead 4
Halifax 1
Kidderminster 2
Stockport County 5
Billericay 3
Stourbridge 2
St. Albans 1
Harrogate 6
Warrington Town 3
Ebbsfleet 1
Hereford 0
Wealdstone 1
Bromley 4
Blyth Spartans 1
Weston-super-Mare 2
Workington 3
East Thurrock Utd 1
Chester 0
Solihull Moors 0
Spennymoor 2
Leyton Orient 2
Bognor Regis 1
Marine 3
Dover Ath. 4
Maidstone 2
Heybridge 1
Boreham Wood 4
Gateshead 5
1/8-finals
Brackley 3
Sutton 1
Maidenhead 3
Stockport County 4
Billericay 5
Harrogate 4
Warrington Town 1
Wealdstone 2
Bromley 8
Workington 2
East Thurrock Utd 3
Spennymoor 6
Leyton Orient 4
Dover Ath. 3
Maidstone 2
Gateshead 5
Quarter-finals
Brackley 3
Stockport County 2
Billericay 2
Wealdstone 5
Bromley 2
Spennymoor 1
Leyton Orient 5
Gateshead 6
Semi-finals
Brackley 3
Wealdstone 0
Bromley 4
Gateshead 3
Final
Brackley 2
Bromley 1