Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lancaster vs New Mills - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Trophy 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 6-0, with Lancaster advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lancaster
15%
Draws
34%
New Mills
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lancaster

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Lancaster carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lancaster are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Lancaster have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lancaster, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lancaster Clean Sheet 18%
New Mills Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lancaster New Mills
Matches Played 33 22
Wins 13 7
Draws 8 2
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.58 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2013 FA Trophy
Lancaster vs New Mills
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lancaster 41 / 100
New Mills 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lancaster New Mills

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Mills's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 22 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Lancaster's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Difficult form: New Mills registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lancaster VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lancaster

(Home)
07 Oct
Avro
5 : 3
Lancaster
03 Oct
Lancaster
2 : 1
Ilkeston
29 Sept
Whitby
1 : 2
Lancaster
26 Sept
Cleethorpes
5 : 1
Lancaster
19 Sept
Bradford PA
1 : 0
Lancaster
Page 1 of 7

New Mills

(Away)
09 Jul
New Mills
0 : 1
Stalybridge
02 Jul
West Didsbury & Chorlton
2 : 3
New Mills
02 Jul
New Mills
0 : 3
Curzon Ashton
28 Jun
New Mills
2 : 3
Macclesfield
19 Jun
AFC Darwen
3 : 3
New Mills
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Witton Albion -
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United of Manchester -
Evesham 3
Market Drayton 1
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Leek Town -
Mickleover -
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Loughborough Dynamo 0
Belper Town 2
Banbury -
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Stourbridge -
Rushall -
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Barwell -
Kendal 3
Farsley 2
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AFC Fylde -
Blyth Spartans -
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Skelmersdale -
Worksop -
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Warrington Town 1
Ramsbottom Utd 2
Coalville Town 5
Stratford 3
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Stafford -
Burscough 5
Goole 1
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Marine -
Scarborough Athletic 1
Prescot Cables 0
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Stocksbridge -
King’s Lynn -
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Cambridge City -
Redditch -
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Rugby 1
Chasetown 2
Frickley -
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Bamber Bridge 1
Brigg Town 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Bedworth United 1
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Stamford -
Cammell Laird 2
Lincoln Utd. 1
Ossett Albion 1
Curzon Ashton 3
Northwich Victoria 3
Salford 1
Clitheroe 3
Radcliffe 6
Lancaster 6
New Mills 0
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Mossley AFC -
Matlock -
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Hinckley -
Halesowen 3
Eastwood 0
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Neots -
Gresley 4
Carlton Town 2
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Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) -
Wakefield 2
Harrogate Railway 1
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Trafford -
Sheffield FC 2
Padiham 1
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Ashton United -
Darlington FC 6
Ossett Town 1
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Buxton -
St Ives Town 1
Rainworth 0
Romulus 2
Kettering 3
Droylsden -
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Nantwich -
Soham 1
Newcastle Town 0
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Grantham Town -
Whitby -
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Chorley -
Carshalton -
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Redhill 1
Burnham Ramblers 3
Cirencester 8
Didcot 2
Ashford Town 2
Egham Town 3
Chesham -
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Biggleswade Town -
Bridgwater United 5
Chalfont St Peter 4
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Weymouth -
Folkestone 6
Walthamstow FC 0
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Kingstonian -
Bashley -
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Hungerford -
St. Albans -
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Ware 3
FC Witham Town 5
Guernsey FC 6
Barkingside 0
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Billericay -
Arlesey -
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Walton & Hersham 1
Waltham Abbey 2
Poole Town -
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Frome Town -
Ramsgate -
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Faversham 2
Aylesbury United 4
Cheshunt -
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Royston Town 1
Three Bridges 3
Enfield Town -
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Lowestoft -
Herne Bay 2
Merstham 0
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Grays -
Hastings 3
Brentwood 2
Chipstead 1
Horsham FC 4
Crawley Down Gatwick 2
Walton Casuals 1
Worthing FC 0
Sudbury 2
Wingate & Finchley -
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Hitchin -
Corby -
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Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Daventry 1
Wealdstone -
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Leiston -
Maldon & Tiptree -
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Maidstone -
Merthyr Town 2
Yate 1
Godalming Town 1
Slough Town 2
Peacehaven & Telscombe 3
Barton 0
Erith & Belvedere 1
Dunstable Town 4
Hampton & Richmond -
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Bedford -
Thamesmead -
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Metropolitan Police -
Marlow 5
Wimborne 3
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North Leigh -
Paulton Rovers 4
Bishops Cleeve 1
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Burnham FC -
Dulwich Hamlet -
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Harrow Borough -
Lewes -
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Harlow 0
Leatherhead 4
Margate -
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Burgess Hill 3
Wroxham 4
AFC Totton -
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Fleet Town 0
Clevedon 3
Bury Town -
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Dereham -
AFC Hayes 3
Northwood 2
Redbridge 2
Chatham 3
Hemel Hempstead -
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Hornchurch -
Aylesbury Vale 4
VCD Athletic 3
Leighton Town 0
North Greenford Utd. 3
Bognor Regis -
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Corinthian-Casuals 0
Thurrock 2
Chertsey Town 4
Guildford City 3
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Chippenham Town -
Canvey Island -
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Uxbridge 1
Heybridge 2
Eastbourne Town 2
Tooting & Mitcham 1
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East Thurrock Utd -
Tiverton 1
Cinderford Town 0
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Truro -
Shortwood 3
Beaconsfield Town 1
Thatcham 1
Mangotsfield 3
Hythe 2
Aveley 1
Needham Market 0
Tilbury 3
Potters 2
Romford 0
Sittingbourne 1
Whitstable Town 5
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Cray Wanderers -
Swindon Supermarine 3
Taunton Town 0
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Semi-finals
Witton Albion 4
United of Manchester 3
Evesham 0
Leek Town 2
Mickleover 3
Belper Town 2
Banbury 2
Stourbridge 3
Rushall 4
Barwell 0
Kendal 2
AFC Fylde 3
Blyth Spartans 6
Skelmersdale 0
Worksop 2
Ramsbottom Utd 7
Coalville Town 3
Stafford 2
Burscough 1
Marine 2
Scarborough Athletic 4
Stocksbridge 3
King’s Lynn 1
Cambridge City 2
Redditch 2
Chasetown 0
Frickley 1
Brigg Town 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Stamford 1
Cammell Laird 0
Curzon Ashton 1
Northwich Victoria 2
Radcliffe 0
Lancaster 2
Mossley AFC 3
Matlock -
Hinckley -
Halesowen 1
Neots 3
Gresley 2
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Wakefield 1
Trafford 6
Sheffield FC 3
Ashton United 0
Darlington FC 4
Buxton 5
St Ives Town 1
Kettering 0
Droylsden 0
Nantwich 3
Soham 6
Grantham Town 3
Whitby 0
Chorley 1
Carshalton 1
Burnham Ramblers 0
Cirencester 2
Egham Town 3
Chesham 1
Biggleswade Town 0
Bridgwater United 0
Weymouth 1
Folkestone 2
Kingstonian 0
Bashley 2
Hungerford 4
St. Albans 3
FC Witham Town 0
Guernsey FC 1
Billericay 2
Arlesey 3
Waltham Abbey 0
Poole Town 4
Frome Town 2
Ramsgate 1
Aylesbury United 0
Cheshunt 3
Three Bridges 4
Enfield Town 2
Lowestoft 1
Herne Bay 2
Grays 3
Hastings 4
Horsham FC 2
Crawley Down Gatwick 0
Sudbury 5
Wingate & Finchley 3
Hitchin 2
Corby 1
Daventry 2
Wealdstone 3
Leiston 0
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Maidstone 3
Merthyr Town 2
Slough Town 1
Peacehaven & Telscombe 2
Dunstable Town 3
Hampton & Richmond 3
Bedford 1
Thamesmead 1
Metropolitan Police 2
Marlow 4
North Leigh 1
Paulton Rovers 1
Burnham FC 2
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Harrow Borough 1
Lewes 1
Leatherhead 2
Margate 9
Wroxham 4
AFC Totton 1
Clevedon 2
Bury Town 2
Dereham 0
AFC Hayes 0
Chatham 2
Hemel Hempstead 3
Hornchurch 2
Aylesbury Vale 1
North Greenford Utd. 2
Bognor Regis 2
Thurrock 1
Chertsey Town 0
Chippenham Town 3
Canvey Island 2
Heybridge 1
Eastbourne Town 2
East Thurrock Utd 6
Tiverton 3
Truro 2
Shortwood 0
Mangotsfield 2
Hythe 3
Tilbury 1
Potters 3
Whitstable Town 4
Hendon 4
Cray Wanderers 1
Swindon Supermarine 2
Bideford 3
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Final
Witton Albion 1
Leek Town 2
Mickleover 1
Stourbridge 2
Rushall 0
AFC Fylde 1
Blyth Spartans 0
Ramsbottom Utd 1
Coalville Town 5
Marine 0
Scarborough Athletic 2
Cambridge City 1
Redditch 5
Brigg Town 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Curzon Ashton 4
Northwich Victoria 2
Mossley AFC 0
Matlock 2
Neots 0
Gresley 2
Trafford 0
Sheffield FC 1
Buxton 0
St Ives Town 1
Nantwich 4
Soham 1
Chorley 2
Carshalton 2
Egham Town 1
Chesham 2
Weymouth 1
Folkestone 2
Hungerford 3
St. Albans 6
Billericay 5
Arlesey 3
Poole Town 2
Ramsgate 4
Three Bridges 1
Enfield Town 0
Grays 1
Hastings 0
Sudbury 1
Wingate & Finchley 2
Daventry 4
Wealdstone 2
Maidstone 3
Merthyr Town 3
Dunstable Town 2
Hampton & Richmond 2
Metropolitan Police 1
Marlow 2
Burnham FC 0
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Leatherhead 0
Margate 4
Clevedon 1
Bury Town 2
Chatham 1
Hemel Hempstead 9
North Greenford Utd. 1
Bognor Regis 4
Chippenham Town 1
Canvey Island 0
East Thurrock Utd 2
Tiverton 3
Mangotsfield 1
Hythe 3
Whitstable Town 4
Hendon 1
Bideford 0
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