Sport Picks
Match Events
22'
22'
Bailey S.
68'
68'
Caine N.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Lancaster and Stocksbridge finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lancaster.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
62%
30%
8%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lancaster
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lancaster come out ahead of Stocksbridge on wins alone.
- Lancaster are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Lancaster here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Lancaster Clean Sheet 20%
Stocksbridge Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lancaster | Stocksbridge |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Stocksbridge
2:0
Nov 29, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Stocksbridge vs Lancaster
1:4
Oct 29, 2016 FA Trophy
Stocksbridge vs Lancaster
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lancaster Compare
Top Goalscorer Bailey S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Caine N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Stocksbridge Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lancaster 85 / 100
Stocksbridge 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lancaster Stocksbridge
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lancaster Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stocksbridge has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.33 goals.
Lancaster scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Solid form: Lancaster remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Lancaster VS Stocksbridge
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Lancaster
(Home) 11 Aug
Lancaster
1 : 0 Warrington Rylands
08 Aug
Ashton United
4 : 1 Lancaster
21 Jul
Lancaster
2 : 2 Preston U21
25 Apr
Lancaster
2 : 0 Stocksbridge
18 Apr
Stockton
1 : 1 Lancaster
Page 1 of 6
11 Aug
Lancaster
1 : 0 Warrington Rylands
21 Jul
Lancaster
2 : 2 Preston U21
25 Apr
Lancaster
2 : 0 Stocksbridge
11 Apr
Lancaster
3 : 0 Gainsborough
03 Apr
Lancaster
3 : 0 Morpeth
Page 1 of 3
Stocksbridge
(Away) 17 Jul
Guiseley
2 : 0 Stocksbridge
25 Apr
Lancaster
2 : 0 Stocksbridge
18 Apr
Stocksbridge
0 : 0 Ilkeston
11 Apr
Warrington Rylands
3 : 2 Stocksbridge
06 Apr
Stocksbridge
0 : 2 Leek Town
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Guiseley
2 : 0 Stocksbridge
25 Apr
Lancaster
2 : 0 Stocksbridge
11 Apr
Warrington Rylands
3 : 2 Stocksbridge
02 Apr
Cleethorpes
2 : 1 Stocksbridge
14 Mar
Workington
2 : 0 Stocksbridge
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 40 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 75:41 | 79 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 40 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 62:35 | 77 |
| 3 | United of Manchester | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 65:41 | 72 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 59:42 | 67 |
| 5 | Stockton | 40 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 62:50 | 63 |
| 6 | Lancaster | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 56:45 | 62 |
| 7 | Gainsborough | 40 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 50:45 | 59 |
| 8 | Leek Town | 40 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 50:52 | 58 |
| 9 | Cleethorpes | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 56:47 | 55 |
| 10 | Ashton United | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 47:54 | 53 |
| 11 | Ilkeston | 40 | 15 | 7 | 18 | 52:54 | 52 |
| 12 | Bamber Bridge | 40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 52:52 | 50 |
| 13 | Guiseley | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 46:56 | 48 |
| 14 | Warrington Town | 40 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 43:63 | 48 |
| 15 | Hyde | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 58:63 | 47 |
| 16 | Rushall | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 48:61 | 47 |
| 17 | Whitby | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:55 | 43 |
| 18 | Workington | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:58 | 43 |
| 19 | Prescot Cables | 40 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 40:50 | 42 |
| 20 | Morpeth | 40 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 38:54 | 42 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 40 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 38:65 | 36 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
