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Lanciano vs Bari - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B 2015/2016 Stadio Guido Biondi, Lanciano
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Sub
Salviato S. In: Rigione M.
Out: Salviato S.
31'
Bacinovic A.
45'
Vastola G.

AI Match Summary

Lanciano in this Serie B 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lanciano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Lanciano
30%
Draws
58%
Bari
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Bari have won more games recently than Lanciano.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Bari taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Lanciano Clean Sheet 22%
Bari Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lanciano Bari
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2016 Serie B
Lanciano vs Bari
1:0
Oct 11, 2015 Serie B
Bari vs Lanciano
1:0
Aug 21, 2015 Club Friendly
Lanciano vs Bari
1:3
Feb 21, 2015 Serie B
Bari vs Lanciano
2:0
Sep 29, 2014 Serie B
Lanciano vs Bari
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lanciano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrari N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Bari Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanciano 10 / 100
Bari 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lanciano Bari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bari Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lanciano scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Bari conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lanciano stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bari
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanciano

(Home)
08 Jun
Salernitana
1 : 0
Lanciano
04 Jun
Lanciano
1 : 4
Salernitana
20 May
Livorno
2 : 2
Lanciano
14 May
Lanciano
1 : 1
Ternana
08 May
Pescara
4 : 0
Lanciano
Page 1 of 6

Bari

(Away)
04 Oct
Salernitana
2 : 1
Bari
26 Sept
Bari
1 : 0
Cosenza
19 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 2
Bari
15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0
Potenza
11 Sept
Altamura
0 : 3
Bari
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cagliari 42 25 8 9 78:41 83
2 Crotone 42 23 13 6 61:36 82
3 Trapani 42 20 13 9 64:49 73
4 Pescara 42 21 9 12 69:52 72
5 Bari 42 19 11 12 58:48 68
6 Cesena 42 19 11 12 57:37 68
7 Spezia 42 17 15 10 47:45 66
8 Novara 42 19 10 13 57:35 65
9 Entella 42 17 13 12 51:40 64
10 Perugia 42 14 13 15 40:40 55
11 Brescia 42 14 12 16 55:64 54
12 Ternana 42 15 8 19 50:56 53
13 Vicenza 42 11 16 15 41:53 49
14 Avellino 42 13 10 19 52:66 49
15 Ascoli 42 13 8 21 45:64 47
16 Latina 42 10 16 16 44:51 46
17 Pro Vercelli 42 11 13 18 43:53 46
18 Salernitana 42 9 18 15 48:62 45
19 Lanciano 42 12 12 18 43:56 44
20 Livorno 42 10 12 20 45:57 42
21 Modena 42 11 9 22 37:55 42
22 Como 42 5 18 19 39:64 33
Relegation - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie A 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Serie A 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)