Sport Picks
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Aguirre R. In: Fabinho
Out: Aguirre R.
53'
53'
Amenta F.
64'
64'
Bacinovic A.
AI Match Summary
Perugia in this Serie B 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Perugia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
20%
60%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Perugia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Perugia at 1.14 per game, Lanciano at 1.13.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Lanciano Clean Sheet 19%
Perugia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lanciano | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 26, 2016 Serie B
Lanciano vs Perugia
0:1
Nov 8, 2015 Serie B
Perugia vs Lanciano
2:0
Mar 7, 2015 Serie B
Perugia vs Lanciano
0:0
Oct 18, 2014 Serie B
Lanciano vs Perugia
1:1
May 17, 2009 Lega Pro C1/B
Perugia vs Lanciano
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lanciano Compare
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Perugia Compare
Top Goalscorer Fabinho
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lanciano 36 / 100
Perugia 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lanciano Perugia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Perugia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lanciano's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Perugia has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Perugia lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
- VS Perugia
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lanciano
(Home) 08 Jun
Salernitana
1 : 0 Lanciano
04 Jun
Lanciano
1 : 4 Salernitana
20 May
Livorno
2 : 2 Lanciano
14 May
Lanciano
1 : 1 Ternana
08 May
Pescara
4 : 0 Lanciano
Page 1 of 6
04 Jun
Lanciano
1 : 4 Salernitana
14 May
Lanciano
1 : 1 Ternana
30 Apr
Lanciano
1 : 2 Avellino
19 Apr
Lanciano
2 : 1 Novara
09 Apr
Lanciano
1 : 2 Entella
Page 1 of 4
Perugia
(Away) 27 Sept
Perugia
1 : 0 Reggiana
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Perugia
16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3 Spezia
13 Sept
Ravenna
3 : 0 Perugia
06 Sept
Perugia
2 : 1 Pineto
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Perugia
13 Sept
Ravenna
3 : 0 Perugia
30 Aug
Vis Pesaro
2 : 2 Perugia
26 Apr
Forli FC
1 : 1 Perugia
12 Apr
Ternana
2 : 2 Perugia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cagliari | 42 | 25 | 8 | 9 | 78:41 | 83 |
| 2 | Crotone | 42 | 23 | 13 | 6 | 61:36 | 82 |
| 3 | Trapani | 42 | 20 | 13 | 9 | 64:49 | 73 |
| 4 | Pescara | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 69:52 | 72 |
| 5 | Bari | 42 | 19 | 11 | 12 | 58:48 | 68 |
| 6 | Cesena | 42 | 19 | 11 | 12 | 57:37 | 68 |
| 7 | Spezia | 42 | 17 | 15 | 10 | 47:45 | 66 |
| 8 | Novara | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 57:35 | 65 |
| 9 | Entella | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 51:40 | 64 |
| 10 | Perugia | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 40:40 | 55 |
| 11 | Brescia | 42 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 55:64 | 54 |
| 12 | Ternana | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 50:56 | 53 |
| 13 | Vicenza | 42 | 11 | 16 | 15 | 41:53 | 49 |
| 14 | Avellino | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 52:66 | 49 |
| 15 | Ascoli | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 45:64 | 47 |
| 16 | Latina | 42 | 10 | 16 | 16 | 44:51 | 46 |
| 17 | Pro Vercelli | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 43:53 | 46 |
| 18 | Salernitana | 42 | 9 | 18 | 15 | 48:62 | 45 |
| 19 | Lanciano | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 43:56 | 44 |
| 20 | Livorno | 42 | 10 | 12 | 20 | 45:57 | 42 |
| 21 | Modena | 42 | 11 | 9 | 22 | 37:55 | 42 |
| 22 | Como | 42 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 39:64 | 33 |
Relegation - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie A 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Serie A 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
