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Lanciano vs Salernitana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B 2015/2016 Stadio Arechi, Salerno
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Sub
Vastola G. In: Aquilanti A.
Out: Vastola G.
9' Event
Donnarumma A.
Assist: Pestrin M.
16' Event
Marilungo G.
Assist: Vitale M.

AI Match Summary

Salernitana in this Serie B 2015/2016 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Lanciano
30%
Draws
58%
Salernitana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Salernitana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Salernitana have won more games recently than Lanciano.
  • Salernitana are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Salernitana arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Salernitana, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Lanciano Clean Sheet 15%
Salernitana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lanciano Salernitana
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 10 16
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2016 Serie B
Salernitana vs Lanciano
1:0
Jun 4, 2016 Serie B
Lanciano vs Salernitana
1:4
Mar 12, 2016 Serie B
Salernitana vs Lanciano
1:3
Oct 27, 2015 Serie B
Lanciano vs Salernitana
2:2
Aug 7, 2014 Club Friendly
Salernitana vs Lanciano
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lanciano Compare

Top Goalscorer Marilungo G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Salernitana Compare

Top Goalscorer Donnarumma A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zito A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanciano 10 / 100
Salernitana 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lanciano Salernitana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salernitana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Lanciano scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Salernitana let in goals in 74% of their last 34 matches.

Solid form: Lanciano remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Salernitana
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanciano

(Home)
08 Jun
Salernitana
1 : 0
Lanciano
04 Jun
Lanciano
1 : 4
Salernitana
20 May
Livorno
2 : 2
Lanciano
14 May
Lanciano
1 : 1
Ternana
08 May
Pescara
4 : 0
Lanciano
Page 1 of 6

Salernitana

(Away)
04 Oct
Salernitana
2 : 1
Bari
26 Sept
Crotone
2 : 1
Salernitana
19 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 0
Giugliano
15 Sept
Barletta
1 : 1
Salernitana
11 Sept
Salernitana
4 : 2
Potenza
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Lanciano 1
Salernitana 5